Double Chance Tips

Double chance treble for Thursday 12 November: pick by pick

Türkiye vs Belgium (UEFA Nations League, 18:00 WAT): Belgium or draw at 1.25, a 80% chance. Two results covered – the one we leave out comes up just 20% of the time on our numbers. Our ratings put 1.0 expected goals on Türkiye and 2.0 from Belgium.

Italy vs France (UEFA Nations League, 20:45 WAT): France or draw at 1.20, a 79% chance. Two results covered – the one we leave out comes up just 21% of the time on our numbers. Our ratings put 1.1 expected goals on Italy and 1.7 from France.

Aurora vs Mixco (Liga Nacional, 23:00 WAT): Aurora or draw at 1.22, a 78% chance. Two results covered – the one we leave out comes up just 22% of the time on our numbers. Our ratings put 1.9 expected goals on Aurora and 1.1 from Mixco.

Combined, the 3 legs pay 1.83, and our chance of all of them landing is 49%. Put 1,000 on it and the return is 1,830.

How the double chance treble works

The double chance treble covers a win or a draw for three teams – the lowest-risk slip we publish. A draw never hurts it; only a defeat does.

Each leg has a high chance and a short price, so the treble is steady rather than exciting. It suits a larger stake than the accumulators.

Playing it well

• Returns are small – resist adding a fourth leg just to lift the odds.
• X2 on a clearly stronger away team is often the best value leg.
• Check that no leg is priced below about 1.15 – the return becomes too thin.

Betarazi slips only use senior matches from 11:00 WAT onwards. Once the first game kicks off the slip is locked, and it is graded on the score after 90 minutes. These are estimates, not promises – please only bet what you can afford to lose (18+).