10 odds acca for Thursday 12 November: pick by pick
Ghana vs Somalia (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification, 16:00 WAT): Under 3.5 goals at 1.65, a 63% chance. Our goal model expects 2.8 goals (Ghana 2.3, Somalia 0.5).
Senegal vs Sudan (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification, 20:00 WAT): Under 3.5 goals at 1.63, a 64% chance. Our goal model expects 2.8 goals (Senegal 2.3, Sudan 0.5).
England vs Croatia (UEFA Nations League, 20:45 WAT): Over 2.5 goals at 1.44, a 71% chance. Our goal model expects 4.0 goals (England 3.1, Croatia 1.0).
Deportivo Pasto vs Junior (Primera A, 22:00 WAT): Over 1.5 goals at 1.30, a 76% chance. Our goal model expects 3.0 goals (Deportivo Pasto 1.0, Junior 2.0).
Águila vs Municipal Limeño (Primera Division, 22:30 WAT): Both teams to score at 1.70, a 63% chance. Both sides carry a real goal threat. Our ratings put 2.1 expected goals on Águila and 1.2 from Municipal Limeño.
Combined, the 5 legs pay 8.56, and our chance of all of them landing is 14%. Put 1,000 on it and the return is 8,560. That beats our fair price of 7.40, so there is value in it too.
How the 10 odds acca works
The 10 odds accumulator is our daily long shot: four to seven well-rated legs pointing at a total near 10.00, assembled from every senior match on the day.
Even strong picks slip up once in a while, and with this many legs one usually does. Treat it as a small-stake bet for a bigger return, never as something to rely on.
Playing it well
- Only use money you are comfortable losing.
- Acca insurance or cash-out, where your bookmaker offers it, can soften a late miss.
- Our record below shows exactly how often it lands – judge it on that, not on hope.
Betarazi slips only use senior matches from 11:00 WAT onwards. Once the first game kicks off the slip is locked, and it is graded on the score after 90 minutes. These are estimates, not promises – please only bet what you can afford to lose (18+).