Cracovia Krakow v Korona Kielce Prediction & Expected Goals (23 May) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultCracovia Krakow to win ✗44% · @2.16

Double chanceEither team to win ✗72% · @1.30

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.80

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.50

Cracovia Krakow vs Korona Kielce: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Cracovia Krakow welcome Korona Kielce to Marshal Jozef Pilsudski Stadium for a Ekstraklasa fixture on Saturday 23 May (16:30 WAT). In the table, Cracovia Krakow are 15th, lower half, on 12 points after 14 matches; Korona Kielce are 11th (lower half) with 18.

Current form

Cracovia Krakow, last 5: DDLDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Radomiak Radom, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Korona Kielce, last 5: LDDLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Raków Częstochowa, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Cracovia Krakow 1.4 xG, Korona Kielce 1.0 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 58%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Cracovia Krakow 44%, draw 28%, Korona Kielce 28%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cracovia Krakow 1–1 Korona Kielce. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Cracovia Krakow44%fair 2.28 · @2.16

Draw28%fair 3.59 · @3.05

Korona Kielce28%fair 3.53 · @3.55

2.39Expected goals

1.35Cracovia Krakow xG

1.04Korona Kielce xG

58%Both score

44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%

1–012%

0–110%

0–09%

2–19%

2–08%

From our goals model: Cracovia Krakow 1.4 – 1.0 Korona Kielce expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Cracovia Krakow to win ✗	44%	2.28	2.16
Double chance	Either team to win ✗	72%	1.39	1.30
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	58%	1.74	1.80
Draw no bet	Cracovia Krakow (draw no bet)	61%	1.65	–
Asian handicap	Korona Kielce +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	73%	1.37	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	69%	1.45	1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	56%	1.78	1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	76%	1.31	1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	89%	1.12	1.08
First team to score	Cracovia Krakow to score first	51%	1.95	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	45%	2.22	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Cracovia Krakow / FT Cracovia Krakow ✗	26%	3.90	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	9%	11.50	–

Cracovia Krakow – last 6

DDLDLD

11 May	vs Radomiak Radom	0–0	D
3 May	@ Zaglebie Lubin	0–0	D
19 Apr	@ Raków Częstochowa	1–4	L
12 Apr	vs Arka Gdynia	2–2	D
27 Feb	vs Piast Gliwice	2–3	L
20 Feb	@ Widzew Łódź	0–0	D

0.8Scored / game

1.5Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Korona Kielce – last 6

LDDLWL

8 May	@ Raków Częstochowa	0–2	L
1 May	vs Piast Gliwice	1–1	D
10 Apr	vs Jagiellonia	1–1	D
6 Apr	@ Lechia Gdansk	2–4	L
22 Mar	vs Arka Gdynia	3–0	W
16 Mar	@ Pogon Szczecin	1–2	L

1.3Scored / game

1.7Conceded / game

67%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Lech Poznan	13	10	2	1	+21	32
2	Gornik Zabrze	14	9	4	1	+11	31
3	Legia Warszawa	14	6	6	2	+10	24
4	Pogon Szczecin	13	7	3	3	+5	24
5	Wisla Krakow	14	7	3	4	+3	24
6	Zaglebie Lubin	14	6	5	3	+1	23
7	Piast Gliwice	14	6	4	4	+4	22
8	GKS Katowice	14	7	0	7	+5	21
9	Jagiellonia	13	7	0	6	0	21
10	Motor Lublin	14	5	4	5	-2	19
11	Korona Kielce	14	5	3	6	-7	18
12	Wisla Plock	13	4	3	6	-7	15
13	Widzew Łódź	14	2	8	4	+1	14
14	Radomiak Radom	14	4	2	8	-12	14
15	Cracovia Krakow	14	3	3	8	-7	12
16	Raków Częstochowa	14	4	0	10	-8	12
17	Slask Wroclaw	14	2	4	8	-8	10
18	Wieczysta Kraków	14	2	2	10	-10	8

Team

Pts

+21

+11

+10

-2

-7

-7

-12

-7

-8

-8

-10

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Cracovia Krakow vs Korona Kielce?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Cracovia Krakow vs Korona Kielce?

On our numbers Cracovia Krakow have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Korona Kielce 28%.

How many goals will there be in Cracovia Krakow vs Korona Kielce?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Cracovia Krakow vs Korona Kielce?

Our predicted score is Cracovia Krakow 1–1 Korona Kielce, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Cracovia Krakow vs Korona Kielce?

Cracovia Krakow vs Korona Kielce (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Saturday 23 May 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Marshal Jozef Pilsudski Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Cracovia Krakow v Korona Kielce: numbers & prediction