Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.77 – our chance 61% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultLech Poznan to win ✗70% · @1.26
Double chanceLech Poznan or draw ✓88% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.77
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.26
Lech Poznan vs Wisla Plock: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 23 May the Ekstraklasa brings Lech Poznan against Wisla Plock at Enea Poznań. Kick-off: 16:30 WAT. In the table, Lech Poznan are 1st, leading the league, on 32 points after 13 matches; Wisla Plock are 12th (lower half) with 15. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Lech Poznan, last 5: DWWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Arka Gdynia, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Wisla Plock, last 5: LLWWL Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Motor Lublin, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Lech Poznan, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Wisla Plock.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lech Poznan 2.3 xG, Wisla Plock 0.9 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 64% for three or more goals, 61% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lech Poznan 70%, draw 18%, Wisla Plock 12%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.77.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.77 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Lech Poznan to win (70%, odds 1.26). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lech Poznan 2–0 Wisla Plock. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lech Poznan70%fair 1.43 · @1.26
Draw18%fair 5.45 · @5.50
Wisla Plock12%fair 8.54 · @10.50
3.21Expected goals
2.29Lech Poznan xG
0.92Wisla Plock xG
61%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
2–110%
1–09%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Lech Poznan 2.3 – 0.9 Wisla Plock expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lech Poznan to win✗
70%
1.43
1.26
Double chance
Lech Poznan or draw✓
88%
1.13
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.65
1.77 ▲
Draw no bet
Lech Poznan (draw no bet)
86%
1.17
–
Asian handicap
Lech Poznan -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.14
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
58%
1.74
1.70
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.30
First team to score
Lech Poznan to score first✓
68%
1.46
–
Half-time result
Lech Poznan ahead at half-time✓
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lech Poznan / FT Lech Poznan✗
45%
2.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.26
–
Recent results
Lech Poznan – last 6
DWWWLL
8 May
vs Arka Gdynia
1–1
D
22 Mar
vs Nieciecza
4–1
W
19 Mar
@ Shakhtar Donetsk
2–1
W
15 Mar
@ Zaglebie Lubin
1–0
W
12 Mar
vs Shakhtar Donetsk
1–3
L
4 Mar
vs Gornik Zabrze
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Wisla Plock – last 6
LLWWLL
10 May
vs Motor Lublin
0–4
L
26 Apr
vs Radomiak Radom
0–1
L
19 Apr
@ Nieciecza
3–1
W
10 Apr
vs Lechia Gdansk
1–0
W
4 Apr
@ GKS Katowice
0–1
L
9 Mar
vs Arka Gdynia
0–3
L
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lech Poznan and Wisla Plock.
What is the prediction for Lech Poznan vs Wisla Plock?
Our pick is Lech Poznan to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.26.
Who will win Lech Poznan vs Wisla Plock?
On our numbers Lech Poznan have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Wisla Plock 12%.
How many goals will there be in Lech Poznan vs Wisla Plock?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lech Poznan vs Wisla Plock?
Our predicted score is Lech Poznan 2–0 Wisla Plock, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Lech Poznan vs Wisla Plock?
Lech Poznan vs Wisla Plock (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Saturday 23 May 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Enea Poznań.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Arka Gdynia0
Nieciecza3
Lechia Gdansk2