Gornik Zabrze v Radomiak Radom Prediction & Expected Goals (23 May) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultGornik Zabrze to win ✓62% · @1.47

Double chanceGornik Zabrze or draw ✓83% · @1.13

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.73

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.18

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.08

Gornik Zabrze vs Radomiak Radom: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Radomiak Radom travel to face Gornik Zabrze on Saturday 23 May in the Ekstraklasa, with Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla the venue – the ball rolls at 16:30 WAT. In the table, Gornik Zabrze are 2nd, among the top four, on 31 points after 14 matches; Radomiak Radom are 14th (lower half) with 14. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Gornik Zabrze, last 5: DWWDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Arka Gdynia, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Radomiak Radom, last 5: DWWDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Cracovia Krakow, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Gornik Zabrze, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for Radomiak Radom.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Gornik Zabrze 2.0 xG, Radomiak Radom 0.9 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 57%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Gornik Zabrze 62%, draw 21%, Radomiak Radom 17%.
Lower-risk option: Gornik Zabrze or draw (83%) at 1.13.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.73.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (65%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gornik Zabrze 1–0 Radomiak Radom. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Gornik Zabrze62%fair 1.62 · @1.47

Draw21%fair 4.74 · @4.65

Radomiak Radom17%fair 5.87 · @5.80

2.87Expected goals

1.95Gornik Zabrze xG

0.92Radomiak Radom xG

56%Both score

57%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–011%

2–011%

1–110%

2–110%

3–07%

3–16%

From our goals model: Gornik Zabrze 2.0 – 0.9 Radomiak Radom expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Gornik Zabrze to win ✓	62%	1.62	1.47
Double chance	Gornik Zabrze or draw ✓	83%	1.21	1.13
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	56%	1.79	1.73
Draw no bet	Gornik Zabrze (draw no bet) ✓	78%	1.28	–
Asian handicap	Gornik Zabrze -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	62%	1.63	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	79%	1.26	1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	57%	1.74	1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	65%	1.55	1.53
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✗	81%	1.24	1.20
First team to score	Gornik Zabrze to score first ✓	64%	1.56	–
Half-time result	Gornik Zabrze ahead at half-time ✓	45%	2.25	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Gornik Zabrze / FT Gornik Zabrze ✓	39%	2.56	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	10%	10.08	–

Gornik Zabrze – last 6

DWWDWD

13 May	@ Arka Gdynia	0–0	D
24 Apr	@ Jagiellonia	2–1	W
8 Apr	@ Zawisza Bydgoszcz	1–0	W
22 Mar	@ Widzew Łódź	0–0	D
15 Mar	vs Raków Częstochowa	3–1	W
8 Mar	@ Motor Lublin	0–0	D

1.0Scored / game

0.3Conceded / game

33%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Radomiak Radom – last 6

DWWDLD

11 May	@ Cracovia Krakow	0–0	D
4 May	vs Lechia Gdansk	3–1	W
26 Apr	@ Wisla Plock	1–0	W
6 Apr	vs Motor Lublin	1–1	D
20 Mar	@ Piast Gliwice	1–3	L
13 Mar	vs Legia Warszawa	1–1	D

1.2Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

67%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Lech Poznan	13	10	2	1	+21	32
2	Gornik Zabrze	14	9	4	1	+11	31
3	Legia Warszawa	14	6	6	2	+10	24
4	Pogon Szczecin	13	7	3	3	+5	24
5	Wisla Krakow	14	7	3	4	+3	24
6	Zaglebie Lubin	14	6	5	3	+1	23
7	Piast Gliwice	14	6	4	4	+4	22
8	GKS Katowice	14	7	0	7	+5	21
9	Jagiellonia	13	7	0	6	0	21
10	Motor Lublin	14	5	4	5	-2	19
11	Korona Kielce	14	5	3	6	-7	18
12	Wisla Plock	13	4	3	6	-7	15
13	Widzew Łódź	14	2	8	4	+1	14
14	Radomiak Radom	14	4	2	8	-12	14
15	Cracovia Krakow	14	3	3	8	-7	12
16	Raków Częstochowa	14	4	0	10	-8	12
17	Slask Wroclaw	14	2	4	8	-8	10
18	Wieczysta Kraków	14	2	2	10	-10	8

Team

Pts

+21

+11

+10

-2

-7

-7

-12

-7

-8

-8

-10

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Gornik Zabrze vs Radomiak Radom?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.

Who will win Gornik Zabrze vs Radomiak Radom?

On our numbers Gornik Zabrze have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Radomiak Radom 17%.

How many goals will there be in Gornik Zabrze vs Radomiak Radom?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Gornik Zabrze vs Radomiak Radom?

Our predicted score is Gornik Zabrze 1–0 Radomiak Radom, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Gornik Zabrze vs Radomiak Radom?

Gornik Zabrze vs Radomiak Radom (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Saturday 23 May 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Gornik Zabrze v Radomiak Radom: numbers & prediction