Pogon Szczecin v GKS Katowice Prediction & Expected Goals (23 May) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultGKS Katowice to win ✗41% · @2.26

Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.20

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.42

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.14

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.48

Pogon Szczecin vs GKS Katowice: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 23 May the Ekstraklasa brings Pogon Szczecin against GKS Katowice at Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera. Kick-off: 16:30 WAT. In the table, Pogon Szczecin are 4th, among the top four, on 24 points after 13 matches; GKS Katowice are 8th (upper half) with 21. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Pogon Szczecin, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Piast Gliwice, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

GKS Katowice, last 5: DDWWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Jagiellonia, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Pogon Szczecin 1.4 xG, GKS Katowice 1.5 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 60%, GG 66%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Pogon Szczecin 35%, draw 24%, GKS Katowice 41%.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.42.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (62%, odds 1.65 – longer than our fair 1.61, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pogon Szczecin 1–1 GKS Katowice. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Pogon Szczecin35%fair 2.83 · @2.68

Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.90

GKS Katowice41%fair 2.44 · @2.26

2.89Expected goals

1.39Pogon Szczecin xG

1.50GKS Katowice xG

66%Both score

60%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%

1–29%

0–18%

2–18%

1–08%

0–26%

From our goals model: Pogon Szczecin 1.4 – 1.5 GKS Katowice expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	GKS Katowice to win ✗	41%	2.44	2.26
Double chance	Either team to win ✗	76%	1.31	1.20
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	66%	1.52	1.42
Draw no bet	GKS Katowice (draw no bet)	54%	1.86	–
Asian handicap	Pogon Szczecin +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	75%	1.33	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	81%	1.24	1.14
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	60%	1.68	1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	62%	1.61	1.65
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	79%	1.26	1.25
First team to score	GKS Katowice to score first ✗	49%	2.04	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	41%	2.47	–
Half-time / full-time	HT GKS Katowice / FT GKS Katowice ✗	24%	4.22	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	9%	11.48	–

Pogon Szczecin – last 5

WLWLW

13 Apr	@ Piast Gliwice	2–0	W
6 Apr	vs Legia Warszawa	0–2	L
16 Mar	vs Korona Kielce	2–1	W
8 Mar	@ Raków Częstochowa	0–2	L
15 Feb	vs Arka Gdynia	1–0	W

1.0Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

20%Both scored

20%Over 2.5

GKS Katowice – last 6

DDWWWL

17 May	vs Jagiellonia	2–2	D
10 May	@ Piast Gliwice	0–0	D
3 May	vs Nieciecza	4–1	W
17 Apr	vs Motor Lublin	3–2	W
4 Apr	vs Wisla Plock	1–0	W
17 Mar	@ Jagiellonia	1–2	L

1.8Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

67%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Lech Poznan	13	10	2	1	+21	32
2	Gornik Zabrze	14	9	4	1	+11	31
3	Legia Warszawa	14	6	6	2	+10	24
4	Pogon Szczecin	13	7	3	3	+5	24
5	Wisla Krakow	14	7	3	4	+3	24
6	Zaglebie Lubin	14	6	5	3	+1	23
7	Piast Gliwice	14	6	4	4	+4	22
8	GKS Katowice	14	7	0	7	+5	21
9	Jagiellonia	13	7	0	6	0	21
10	Motor Lublin	14	5	4	5	-2	19
11	Korona Kielce	14	5	3	6	-7	18
12	Wisla Plock	13	4	3	6	-7	15
13	Widzew Łódź	14	2	8	4	+1	14
14	Radomiak Radom	14	4	2	8	-12	14
15	Cracovia Krakow	14	3	3	8	-7	12
16	Raków Częstochowa	14	4	0	10	-8	12
17	Slask Wroclaw	14	2	4	8	-8	10
18	Wieczysta Kraków	14	2	2	10	-10	8

Team

Pts

+21

+11

+10

-2

-7

-7

-12

-7

-8

-8

-10

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Pogon Szczecin vs GKS Katowice?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.

Who will win Pogon Szczecin vs GKS Katowice?

On our numbers Pogon Szczecin have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 24% and GKS Katowice 41%.

How many goals will there be in Pogon Szczecin vs GKS Katowice?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Pogon Szczecin vs GKS Katowice?

Our predicted score is Pogon Szczecin 1–1 GKS Katowice, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Pogon Szczecin vs GKS Katowice?

Pogon Szczecin vs GKS Katowice (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Saturday 23 May 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Pogon Szczecin v GKS Katowice: numbers & prediction