Jagiellonia v Zaglebie Lubin Prediction & Expected Goals (23 May) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultJagiellonia to win ✓58% · @1.57

Double chanceJagiellonia or draw ✓81% · @1.15

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.73

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · @1.20

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.22

Jagiellonia vs Zaglebie Lubin: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Jagiellonia welcome Zaglebie Lubin to Chorten Arena for a Ekstraklasa fixture on Saturday 23 May (16:30 WAT). In the table, Jagiellonia are 9th, upper half, on 21 points after 13 matches; Zaglebie Lubin are 6th (upper half) with 23. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Jagiellonia, last 5: DWLDW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with GKS Katowice, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Zaglebie Lubin, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Cracovia Krakow, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.

Momentum favours Jagiellonia, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.2 for Zaglebie Lubin.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Jagiellonia 1.8 xG, Zaglebie Lubin 1.0 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 59%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Jagiellonia 58%, draw 23%, Zaglebie Lubin 19%.
Lower-risk option: Jagiellonia or draw (81%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.73.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Jagiellonia 1–1 Zaglebie Lubin. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Jagiellonia58%fair 1.72 · @1.57

Draw23%fair 4.38 · @4.20

Zaglebie Lubin19%fair 5.23 · @5.20

2.71Expected goals

1.76Jagiellonia xG

0.95Zaglebie Lubin xG

59%Both score

54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–012%

1–111%

2–010%

2–110%

0–07%

0–16%

From our goals model: Jagiellonia 1.8 – 1.0 Zaglebie Lubin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Jagiellonia to win ✓	58%	1.72	1.57
Double chance	Jagiellonia or draw ✓	81%	1.24	1.15
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	59%	1.70	1.73
Draw no bet	Jagiellonia (draw no bet) ✓	75%	1.33	–
Asian handicap	Zaglebie Lubin +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	68%	1.46	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	77%	1.30	1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	54%	1.85	1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	68%	1.48	1.48
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	83%	1.20	1.18
First team to score	Jagiellonia to score first ✓	61%	1.65	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	41%	2.44	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Jagiellonia / FT Jagiellonia ✓	35%	2.87	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	10%	10.22	–

Jagiellonia – last 6

DWLDWL

17 May	@ GKS Katowice	2–2	D
13 May	@ Raków Częstochowa	2–0	W
24 Apr	vs Gornik Zabrze	1–2	L
10 Apr	@ Korona Kielce	1–1	D
17 Mar	vs GKS Katowice	2–1	W
6 Mar	@ Lechia Gdansk	0–3	L

1.3Scored / game

1.5Conceded / game

67%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Zaglebie Lubin – last 6

DLLLLL

3 May	vs Cracovia Krakow	0–0	D
24 Apr	vs Nieciecza	1–2	L
17 Apr	@ Legia Warszawa	0–1	L
7 Apr	@ Arka Gdynia	1–3	L
20 Mar	@ Motor Lublin	0–1	L
15 Mar	vs Lech Poznan	0–1	L

0.3Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

33%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Lech Poznan	13	10	2	1	+21	32
2	Gornik Zabrze	14	9	4	1	+11	31
3	Legia Warszawa	14	6	6	2	+10	24
4	Pogon Szczecin	13	7	3	3	+5	24
5	Wisla Krakow	14	7	3	4	+3	24
6	Zaglebie Lubin	14	6	5	3	+1	23
7	Piast Gliwice	14	6	4	4	+4	22
8	GKS Katowice	14	7	0	7	+5	21
9	Jagiellonia	13	7	0	6	0	21
10	Motor Lublin	14	5	4	5	-2	19
11	Korona Kielce	14	5	3	6	-7	18
12	Wisla Plock	13	4	3	6	-7	15
13	Widzew Łódź	14	2	8	4	+1	14
14	Radomiak Radom	14	4	2	8	-12	14
15	Cracovia Krakow	14	3	3	8	-7	12
16	Raków Częstochowa	14	4	0	10	-8	12
17	Slask Wroclaw	14	2	4	8	-8	10
18	Wieczysta Kraków	14	2	2	10	-10	8

Team

Pts

+21

+11

+10

-2

-7

-7

-12

-7

-8

-8

-10

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Jagiellonia vs Zaglebie Lubin?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Jagiellonia vs Zaglebie Lubin?

On our numbers Jagiellonia have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Zaglebie Lubin 19%.

How many goals will there be in Jagiellonia vs Zaglebie Lubin?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Jagiellonia vs Zaglebie Lubin?

Our predicted score is Jagiellonia 1–1 Zaglebie Lubin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Jagiellonia vs Zaglebie Lubin?

Jagiellonia vs Zaglebie Lubin (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Saturday 23 May 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Chorten Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Jagiellonia v Zaglebie Lubin: numbers & prediction