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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Nieciecza v Lechia Gdansk: numbers & prediction

Ekstraklasa · Poland · Termalica Bruk-Bet Nieciecza

Nieciecza

WLWLW
3–2
FT

Lechia Gdansk

LLDLW
Nieciecza 35%Draw 19%Lechia Gdansk 46% Expected goals 1.93 – 1.77
70%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Strong pick · fair odds 1.43 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.40Odds
1

Value bet: Nieciecza to win @ 3.80 – our chance 35% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +32%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultLechia Gdansk to win ✗46% · @1.76
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓70% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 13.38

Nieciecza vs Lechia Gdansk: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Nieciecza welcome Lechia Gdansk to Termalica Bruk-Bet Nieciecza for a Ekstraklasa fixture on Saturday 23 May (16:30 WAT).

Current form

Nieciecza, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Arka Gdynia, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.

Lechia Gdansk, last 5: LLDLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Legia Warszawa, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Nieciecza 1.9 xG, Lechia Gdansk 1.8 xG – a total near 3.7. That is an open game on paper: 69% for three or more goals, 70% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Nieciecza 35%, draw 19%, Lechia Gdansk 46%.
  • GG/NG: GG (70%) at 1.40.
  • Price worth noting: Nieciecza to win @3.80 – the bookmaker implies 26%, our ratings say 35%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (70%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nieciecza 1–1 Lechia Gdansk. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Nieciecza35%fair 2.88 · @3.80
Draw19%fair 5.30 · @4.20
Lechia Gdansk46%fair 2.16 · @1.76
3.69Expected goals
1.93Nieciecza xG
1.77Lechia Gdansk xG
70%Both score
69%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–18%
2–18%
1–27%
2–27%
3–15%
1–05%

From our goals model: Nieciecza 1.9 – 1.8 Lechia Gdansk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLechia Gdansk to win ✗46%2.161.76
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81%1.231.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓70%1.431.40
Draw no betLechia Gdansk (draw no bet) ✗57%1.75–
Asian handicapLechia Gdansk +1 (Asian handicap)71%1.41–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓86%1.161.12
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69%1.441.40
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗51%1.961.80
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗70%1.431.33
First team to scoreNieciecza to score first ✓51%1.96–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗35%2.86–
Half-time / full-timeHT Nieciecza / FT Nieciecza ✓26%3.85–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7%13.38–

Recent results

Nieciecza – last 6

WLWLWL
18 May@ Arka Gdynia3–2W
3 May@ GKS Katowice1–4L
24 Apr@ Zaglebie Lubin2–1W
19 Aprvs Wisla Plock1–3L
6 Aprvs Piast Gliwice3–2W
22 Mar@ Lech Poznan1–4L
1.8Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Lechia Gdansk – last 6

LLDLWW
17 Mayvs Legia Warszawa1–2L
4 May@ Radomiak Radom1–3L
20 Aprvs Piast Gliwice1–1D
10 Apr@ Wisla Plock0–1L
6 Aprvs Korona Kielce4–2W
6 Marvs Jagiellonia3–0W
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Nieciecza and Lechia Gdansk.

Nieciecza vs Lechia Gdansk head-to-head page →

More Ekstraklasa predictions

League hub
FT Cracovia Krakow1 Korona Kielce1 144%2.16X28%3.05228%3.55 1.4–1.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.25 ✓
FT Gornik Zabrze6 Radomiak Radom2 162%1.47X21%4.65217%5.80 2.0–0.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 65%@1.53 ✗
FT Jagiellonia1 Zaglebie Lubin0 158%1.57X23%4.20219%5.20 1.8–1.0xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.20 ✗
FT Lech Poznan2 Wisla Plock2 170%1.26X18%5.50212%10.50 2.3–0.9xG 1Lech Poznan to win 70%@1.26 ✗
FT Legia Warszawa4 Motor Lublin0 158%1.54X23%4.20219%5.40 1.8–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 64%@1.55 ✗
FT Pogon Szczecin1 GKS Katowice1 135%2.68X24%3.90241%2.26 1.4–1.5xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 62%@1.65 ✓
FT Raków Częstochowa3 Arka Gdynia0 166%1.31X19%5.10215%8.90 2.1–1.0xG 1Raków Częstochowa to win 66%@1.31 ✓
FT Widzew Łódź2 Piast Gliwice1 145%2.00X26%3.35229%3.65 1.4–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.28 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Nieciecza vs Lechia Gdansk?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Nieciecza vs Lechia Gdansk?

On our numbers Nieciecza have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Lechia Gdansk 46%.

How many goals will there be in Nieciecza vs Lechia Gdansk?

We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Nieciecza vs Lechia Gdansk?

Our predicted score is Nieciecza 1–1 Lechia Gdansk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.

When is Nieciecza vs Lechia Gdansk?

Nieciecza vs Lechia Gdansk (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Saturday 23 May 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Termalica Bruk-Bet Nieciecza.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.