Helmond Sport 28%Draw 22%Waalwijk 50%Expected goals 1.40 – 1.87
67%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
Picks by market
ResultWaalwijk to win ✗50% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.76
Helmond Sport vs Waalwijk: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
11:15 WAT, Monday 6 April: Helmond Sport v Waalwijk in the Eerste Divisie, played at GS Staalwerken Stadion. In the table, Helmond Sport are 7th, upper half, on 0 points after 0 matches; Waalwijk are 12th (lower half) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Helmond Sport, last 5: LDLLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Jong AZ, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Waalwijk, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over MVV, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.
Momentum favours Waalwijk, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.3 for Helmond Sport.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Helmond Sport 1.4 xG, Waalwijk 1.9 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 62% for three or more goals, 67% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Helmond Sport 28%, draw 22%, Waalwijk 50%.
GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.48.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (67%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Helmond Sport 1–1 Waalwijk. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Helmond Sport28%fair 3.58 · @3.35
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.75
Waalwijk50%fair 1.99 · @1.95
3.27Expected goals
1.40Helmond Sport xG
1.87Waalwijk xG
67%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–29%
0–17%
2–17%
0–27%
2–27%
From our goals model: Helmond Sport 1.4 – 1.9 Waalwijk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Helmond Sport
Waalwijk
Attack vs Eerste Divisie average
-2%
+2%
Goals conceded vs average
+22%
-10%
Our expected goals here
1.59
1.98
Our own ratings from every Eerste Divisie result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Waalwijk to win✗
50%
1.99
1.95
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
67%
1.49
1.48
Draw no bet
Waalwijk (draw no bet)
64%
1.56
–
Asian handicap
Helmond Sport +1 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
60%
1.68
1.55
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.22
First team to score
Waalwijk to score first
55%
1.82
–
Half-time result
Waalwijk ahead at half-time✗
37%
2.67
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Waalwijk / FT Waalwijk✗
30%
3.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.76
–
Recent results
Helmond Sport – last 6
LDLLDL
3 Apr
@ Jong AZ
0–2
L
20 Mar
@ Roda
1–1
D
16 Mar
vs Cambuur
0–1
L
13 Mar
@ Jong Utrecht
0–1
L
6 Mar
vs FC OSS
1–1
D
27 Feb
@ Jong Ajax
1–5
L
0.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Waalwijk – last 6
WDWWWD
3 Apr
@ MVV
3–1
W
17 Mar
@ Almere City FC
2–2
D
13 Mar
vs Jong AZ
2–1
W
6 Mar
@ VVV Venlo
3–0
W
27 Feb
vs FC Eindhoven
2–1
W
20 Feb
@ Cambuur
1–1
D
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Helmond Sport and Waalwijk.
What is the prediction for Helmond Sport vs Waalwijk?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Helmond Sport vs Waalwijk?
On our numbers Helmond Sport have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Waalwijk 50%.
How many goals will there be in Helmond Sport vs Waalwijk?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Helmond Sport vs Waalwijk?
Our predicted score is Helmond Sport 1–1 Waalwijk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Helmond Sport vs Waalwijk?
Helmond Sport vs Waalwijk (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 11:15 (West Africa Time) at GS Staalwerken Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Willem II1
Cambuur1
ADO Den Haag4