Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
Picks by market
ResultVitesse to win ✓58% · @1.60
Double chanceVitesse or draw ✓80% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.13
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.21
Vitesse vs Jong Ajax: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 6 April the Eerste Divisie brings Vitesse against Jong Ajax at GelreDome. Kick-off: 15:45 WAT. In the table, Vitesse are 15th, lower half, on 0 points after 0 matches; Jong Ajax are 18th (in the drop zone) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Vitesse, last 5: DWWLW Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Emmen, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Jong Ajax, last 5: LLWWL Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to ADO Den Haag, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Momentum favours Vitesse, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for Jong Ajax.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Vitesse 2.0 xG, Jong Ajax 1.2 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 64% and GG at 65%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Vitesse 58%, draw 22%, Jong Ajax 20%.
Lower-risk option: Vitesse or draw (80%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.48.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (65%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vitesse 2–1 Jong Ajax. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Vitesse58%fair 1.73 · @1.60
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @4.33
Jong Ajax20%fair 4.91 · @4.80
3.22Expected goals
2.02Vitesse xG
1.19Jong Ajax xG
65%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–110%
2–08%
1–08%
3–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Vitesse 2.0 – 1.2 Jong Ajax expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Vitesse
Jong Ajax
Attack vs Eerste Divisie average
-12%
-8%
Goals conceded vs average
-16%
+21%
Our expected goals here
1.92
1.22
Our own ratings from every Eerste Divisie result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vitesse to win✓
58%
1.73
1.60
Double chance
Vitesse or draw✓
80%
1.26
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.55
1.48
Draw no bet
Vitesse (draw no bet)✓
74%
1.35
–
Asian handicap
Jong Ajax +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.13
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
58%
1.74
1.70
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
1.30
First team to score
Vitesse to score first✓
60%
1.66
–
Half-time result
Vitesse ahead at half-time✓
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vitesse / FT Vitesse✓
36%
2.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.21
–
Recent results
Vitesse – last 6
DWWLWW
3 Apr
vs Emmen
3–3
D
20 Mar
@ Jong PSV U21
2–0
W
16 Mar
@ Roda
1–0
W
13 Mar
vs Almere City FC
1–3
L
8 Mar
@ De Graafschap
4–1
W
27 Feb
vs Jong AZ
2–0
W
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Jong Ajax – last 6
LLWWLW
3 Apr
@ ADO Den Haag
2–4
L
20 Mar
vs Almere City FC
0–2
L
17 Mar
@ VVV Venlo
1–0
W
13 Mar
vs Den Bosch
3–2
W
6 Mar
@ FC Eindhoven
1–2
L
27 Feb
vs Helmond Sport
5–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vitesse and Jong Ajax.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Vitesse vs Jong Ajax?
On our numbers Vitesse have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Jong Ajax 20%.
How many goals will there be in Vitesse vs Jong Ajax?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vitesse vs Jong Ajax?
Our predicted score is Vitesse 2–1 Jong Ajax, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Vitesse vs Jong Ajax?
Vitesse vs Jong Ajax (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 15:45 (West Africa Time) at GelreDome.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Willem II1
Cambuur1
ADO Den Haag4