Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.38 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.38Odds
Picks by market
ResultEmmen to win ✓60% · @1.50
Double chanceEmmen or draw ✓80% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.51
Emmen vs MVV: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 6 April the Eerste Divisie brings Emmen against MVV at De Oude Meerdijk. Kick-off: 15:45 WAT. In the table, Emmen are 6th, upper half, on 0 points after 0 matches; MVV are 8th (upper half) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Emmen, last 5: DLDLW Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Vitesse, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.
MVV, last 5: LLDWD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Waalwijk, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Emmen 2.1 xG, MVV 1.3 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 68% and GG at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Emmen 60%, draw 21%, MVV 20%.
Lower-risk option: Emmen or draw (80%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.44.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (68%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: Emmen 2–1 MVV. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Emmen60%fair 1.68 · @1.50
Draw21%fair 4.85 · @4.60
MVV20%fair 5.05 · @5.20
3.44Expected goals
2.13Emmen xG
1.32MVV xG
64%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–19%
2–07%
1–07%
3–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Emmen 2.1 – 1.3 MVV expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Emmen
MVV
Attack vs Eerste Divisie average
-3%
-19%
Goals conceded vs average
+15%
+14%
Our expected goals here
2.00
1.47
Our own ratings from every Eerste Divisie result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Emmen to win✓
60%
1.68
1.50
Double chance
Emmen or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.56
1.44
Draw no bet
Emmen (draw no bet)✓
75%
1.33
–
Asian handicap
MVV +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
1.11
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.38
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
1.83
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
1.35
First team to score
Emmen to score first
60%
1.67
–
Half-time result
Emmen ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Emmen / FT Emmen✗
36%
2.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.51
–
Recent results
Emmen – last 6
DLDLWL
3 Apr
@ Vitesse
3–3
D
24 Mar
vs Cambuur
2–4
L
20 Mar
vs VVV Venlo
2–2
D
13 Mar
vs ADO Den Haag
0–1
L
9 Mar
@ Jong AZ
3–2
W
27 Feb
vs Willem II
0–3
L
1.7Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
MVV – last 6
LLDWDD
3 Apr
vs Waalwijk
1–3
L
22 Mar
vs Willem II
0–5
L
16 Mar
@ Jong AZ
1–1
D
13 Mar
vs VVV Venlo
2–1
W
6 Mar
@ Dordrecht
1–1
D
27 Feb
vs De Graafschap
3–3
D
1.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Emmen and MVV.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Emmen vs MVV?
On our numbers Emmen have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 21% and MVV 20%.
How many goals will there be in Emmen vs MVV?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Emmen vs MVV?
Our predicted score is Emmen 2–1 MVV, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Emmen vs MVV?
Emmen vs MVV (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 15:45 (West Africa Time) at De Oude Meerdijk.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Willem II1
Cambuur1
ADO Den Haag4