Almere City FC vs Den Bosch: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
13:30 WAT, Monday 6 April: Almere City FC v Den Bosch in the Eerste Divisie, played at Yanmar Stadion. In the table, Almere City FC are 9th, upper half, on 0 points after 0 matches; Den Bosch are 3rd (among the top four) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Almere City FC, last 5: WWDWL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over FC OSS, at home. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Den Bosch, last 5: WLDDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Jong PSV U21, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.6 scored, 1.6 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Almere City FC, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for Den Bosch.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Almere City FC 2.2 xG, Den Bosch 1.3 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 68% for three or more goals, 67% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Almere City FC 58%, draw 22%, Den Bosch 19%.
Lower-risk option: Almere City FC or draw (81%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.38.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (68%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Almere City FC 2–1 Den Bosch. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Almere City FC58%fair 1.72 · @1.60
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @4.40
Den Bosch19%fair 5.17 · @4.60
3.42Expected goals
2.17Almere City FC xG
1.25Den Bosch xG
67%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
1–07%
3–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Almere City FC 2.2 – 1.3 Den Bosch expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Almere City FC
Den Bosch
Attack vs Eerste Divisie average
+16%
-5%
Goals conceded vs average
-22%
-8%
Our expected goals here
1.94
1.18
Our own ratings from every Eerste Divisie result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Almere City FC to win✗
58%
1.72
1.60
Double chance
Almere City FC or draw✗
81%
1.24
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
67%
1.49
1.38
Draw no bet
Almere City FC (draw no bet)✗
75%
1.33
–
Asian handicap
Den Bosch +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
1.10
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.35
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
1.85
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.38
First team to score
Almere City FC to score first✗
61%
1.63
–
Half-time result
Almere City FC ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Almere City FC / FT Almere City FC✗
37%
2.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.39
–
Recent results
Almere City FC – last 6
WWDWLW
3 Apr
vs FC OSS
3–2
W
20 Mar
@ Jong Ajax
2–0
W
17 Mar
vs Waalwijk
2–2
D
13 Mar
@ Vitesse
3–1
W
3 Mar
@ Cambuur
2–3
L
27 Feb
@ Jong Utrecht
3–2
W
2.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Den Bosch – last 5
WLDDD
16 Mar
vs Jong PSV U21
1–0
W
13 Mar
@ Jong Ajax
2–3
L
8 Mar
@ Willem II
1–1
D
27 Feb
vs Roda
2–2
D
23 Feb
@ Jong AZ
2–2
D
1.6Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
80%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Almere City FC and Den Bosch.
What is the prediction for Almere City FC vs Den Bosch?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Almere City FC vs Den Bosch?
On our numbers Almere City FC have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Den Bosch 19%.
How many goals will there be in Almere City FC vs Den Bosch?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Almere City FC vs Den Bosch?
Our predicted score is Almere City FC 2–1 Den Bosch, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Almere City FC vs Den Bosch?
Almere City FC vs Den Bosch (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Yanmar Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Willem II1
Cambuur1
ADO Den Haag4