Value bet: VVV Venlo to win @ 2.75 – our chance 41% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultVVV Venlo to win ✗41% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗68% · @1.30
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗84% · @1.11
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.15
Jong PSV U21 vs VVV Venlo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:00 WAT, Monday 6 April: Jong PSV U21 v VVV Venlo in the Eerste Divisie, played at De Herdgang. In the table, Jong PSV U21 are 17th, lower half, on 0 points after 0 matches; VVV Venlo are 2nd (among the top four) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Jong PSV U21, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Willem II, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
VVV Venlo, last 5: WDLLL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Cambuur, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Jong PSV U21 1.5 xG, VVV Venlo 1.8 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 67% for three or more goals, 68% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Jong PSV U21 37%, draw 22%, VVV Venlo 41%.
GG/NG: GG (68%) at 1.30.
Price worth noting: VVV Venlo to win @2.75 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 41%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (68%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Jong PSV U21 1–1 VVV Venlo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Jong PSV U2137%fair 2.71 · @2.20
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.95
VVV Venlo41%fair 2.45 · @2.75
3.29Expected goals
1.50Jong PSV U21 xG
1.79VVV Venlo xG
68%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–29%
2–17%
2–27%
0–17%
0–26%
From our goals model: Jong PSV U21 1.5 – 1.8 VVV Venlo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Jong PSV U21
VVV Venlo
Attack vs Eerste Divisie average
-26%
+27%
Goals conceded vs average
-7%
-4%
Our expected goals here
1.29
1.86
Our own ratings from every Eerste Divisie result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
VVV Venlo to win✗
41%
2.45
2.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
68%
1.46
1.30
Draw no bet
VVV Venlo (draw no bet)✗
53%
1.90
–
Asian handicap
Jong PSV U21 +1 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
84%
1.18
1.11
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
67%
1.50
1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.85
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
1.38
First team to score
VVV Venlo to score first✗
52%
1.91
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
37%
2.67
–
Half-time / full-time
HT VVV Venlo / FT VVV Venlo✗
27%
3.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.15
–
Recent results
Jong PSV U21 – last 6
LLLLWD
3 Apr
@ Willem II
0–1
L
20 Mar
vs Vitesse
0–2
L
16 Mar
@ Den Bosch
0–1
L
13 Mar
vs FC Eindhoven
1–2
L
6 Mar
@ Roda
2–0
W
27 Feb
vs Dordrecht
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
VVV Venlo – last 6
WDLLLL
3 Apr
vs Cambuur
3–0
W
20 Mar
@ Emmen
2–2
D
17 Mar
vs Jong Ajax
0–1
L
13 Mar
@ MVV
1–2
L
6 Mar
vs Waalwijk
0–3
L
27 Feb
@ ADO Den Haag
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Jong PSV U21 and VVV Venlo.
What is the prediction for Jong PSV U21 vs VVV Venlo?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Jong PSV U21 vs VVV Venlo?
On our numbers Jong PSV U21 have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 22% and VVV Venlo 41%.
How many goals will there be in Jong PSV U21 vs VVV Venlo?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jong PSV U21 vs VVV Venlo?
Our predicted score is Jong PSV U21 1–1 VVV Venlo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Jong PSV U21 vs VVV Venlo?
Jong PSV U21 vs VVV Venlo (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at De Herdgang.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.