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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Jong PSV U21 v VVV Venlo: numbers & prediction

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands · De Herdgang
1–0
FT
Jong PSV U21 37%Draw 22%VVV Venlo 41% Expected goals 1.50 – 1.79
68%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Strong pick · fair odds 1.46 · bookmaker 1.30 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.30Odds
2

Value bet: VVV Venlo to win @ 2.75 – our chance 41% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultVVV Venlo to win ✗41% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗68% · @1.30
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗84% · @1.11
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.15

Jong PSV U21 vs VVV Venlo: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:00 WAT, Monday 6 April: Jong PSV U21 v VVV Venlo in the Eerste Divisie, played at De Herdgang. In the table, Jong PSV U21 are 17th, lower half, on 0 points after 0 matches; VVV Venlo are 2nd (among the top four) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Jong PSV U21, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Willem II, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

VVV Venlo, last 5: WDLLL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Cambuur, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Jong PSV U21 1.5 xG, VVV Venlo 1.8 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 67% for three or more goals, 68% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Jong PSV U21 37%, draw 22%, VVV Venlo 41%.
  • GG/NG: GG (68%) at 1.30.
  • Price worth noting: VVV Venlo to win @2.75 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 41%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (68%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Jong PSV U21 1–1 VVV Venlo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Jong PSV U2137%fair 2.71 · @2.20
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.95
VVV Venlo41%fair 2.45 · @2.75
3.29Expected goals
1.50Jong PSV U21 xG
1.79VVV Venlo xG
68%Both score
67%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
1–29%
2–17%
2–27%
0–17%
0–26%

From our goals model: Jong PSV U21 1.5 – 1.8 VVV Venlo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Jong PSV U21VVV Venlo
Attack vs Eerste Divisie average-26%+27%
Goals conceded vs average-7%-4%
Our expected goals here1.291.86

Our own ratings from every Eerste Divisie result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultVVV Venlo to win ✗41%2.452.75 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.291.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗68%1.461.30
Draw no betVVV Venlo (draw no bet) ✗53%1.90–
Asian handicapJong PSV U21 +1 (Asian handicap) ✓70%1.44–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗84%1.181.11
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗67%1.501.36
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓55%1.831.85
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓73%1.381.38
First team to scoreVVV Venlo to score first ✗52%1.91–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓37%2.67–
Half-time / full-timeHT VVV Venlo / FT VVV Venlo ✗27%3.67–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.15–

Recent results

Jong PSV U21 – last 6

LLLLWD
3 Apr@ Willem II0–1L
20 Marvs Vitesse0–2L
16 Mar@ Den Bosch0–1L
13 Marvs FC Eindhoven1–2L
6 Mar@ Roda2–0W
27 Febvs Dordrecht1–1D
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

VVV Venlo – last 6

WDLLLL
3 Aprvs Cambuur3–0W
20 Mar@ Emmen2–2D
17 Marvs Jong Ajax0–1L
13 Mar@ MVV1–2L
6 Marvs Waalwijk0–3L
27 Feb@ ADO Den Haag0–1L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Jong PSV U21 and VVV Venlo.

Jong PSV U21 vs VVV Venlo head-to-head page →

Eerste Divisie table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Heracles141121+2935
2VVV Venlo14923+1529
3Almere City FC14914+1628
4NAC Breda14743+525
5Roda14743+125
6Emmen14815025
7FC Volendam14716+922
8MVV14626-1020
9Den Bosch14545+219
10Vitesse13535-118
11Waalwijk14383+317
12Jong AZ14527+217
13Jong PSV U2114455-417
14Jong Ajax14446-816
15De Graafschap13436-1015
16FC OSS14428-314
17Helmond Sport14338-612
18Dordrecht14338-1612
19Jong Utrecht14329-1111
20FC Eindhoven14329-1311

More Eerste Divisie predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Jong PSV U21 vs VVV Venlo?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Jong PSV U21 vs VVV Venlo?

On our numbers Jong PSV U21 have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 22% and VVV Venlo 41%.

How many goals will there be in Jong PSV U21 vs VVV Venlo?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Jong PSV U21 vs VVV Venlo?

Our predicted score is Jong PSV U21 1–1 VVV Venlo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is Jong PSV U21 vs VVV Venlo?

Jong PSV U21 vs VVV Venlo (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at De Herdgang.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.