Almere City FC 62%Draw 18%Dordrecht 20%Expected goals 2.34 – 1.06
66%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.42 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.42Odds
1
Value bet: Almere City FC to win @ 1.90 – our chance 62% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAlmere City FC to win ✓62% · @1.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.42
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.32
Almere City FC vs Dordrecht: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 17 April the Eerste Divisie brings Almere City FC against Dordrecht at Yanmar Stadion. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, Almere City FC are 9th, upper half, on 0 points after 0 matches; Dordrecht are 4th (among the top four) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Almere City FC, last 5: LWWDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Den Bosch, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Dordrecht, last 5: WDLLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over ADO Den Haag, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Almere City FC, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Dordrecht.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Almere City FC 2.3 xG, Dordrecht 1.1 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 65% for three or more goals, 66% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Almere City FC 62%, draw 18%, Dordrecht 20%.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.42.
Price worth noting: Almere City FC to win @1.90 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (66%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: Almere City FC 2–1 Dordrecht. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Almere City FC62%fair 1.61 · @1.90
Draw18%fair 5.52 · @3.85
Dordrecht20%fair 5.08 · @3.50
3.40Expected goals
2.34Almere City FC xG
1.06Dordrecht xG
66%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
2–09%
1–18%
1–08%
3–18%
3–07%
From our goals model: Almere City FC 2.3 – 1.1 Dordrecht expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Almere City FC
Dordrecht
Attack vs Eerste Divisie average
+16%
-23%
Goals conceded vs average
-22%
+28%
Our expected goals here
2.70
0.96
Our own ratings from every Eerste Divisie result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Almere City FC to win✓
62%
1.61
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
82%
1.22
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
66%
1.51
1.42
Draw no bet
Almere City FC (draw no bet)✓
76%
1.32
–
Asian handicap
Almere City FC -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
1.15
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
1.67
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
75%
1.34
1.25
First team to score
Almere City FC to score first
67%
1.50
–
Half-time result
Almere City FC ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Almere City FC / FT Almere City FC✓
44%
2.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.32
–
Recent results
Almere City FC – last 6
LWWDWL
6 Apr
vs Den Bosch
1–2
L
3 Apr
vs FC OSS
3–2
W
20 Mar
@ Jong Ajax
2–0
W
17 Mar
vs Waalwijk
2–2
D
13 Mar
@ Vitesse
3–1
W
3 Mar
@ Cambuur
2–3
L
2.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Dordrecht – last 6
WDLLDD
12 Apr
vs ADO Den Haag
1–0
W
6 Apr
@ Cambuur
1–1
D
3 Apr
vs Roda
0–3
L
20 Mar
@ Jong Utrecht
1–3
L
17 Mar
vs FC OSS
2–2
D
6 Mar
vs MVV
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Almere City FC and Dordrecht.
What is the prediction for Almere City FC vs Dordrecht?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Almere City FC vs Dordrecht?
On our numbers Almere City FC have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Dordrecht 20%.
How many goals will there be in Almere City FC vs Dordrecht?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Almere City FC vs Dordrecht?
Our predicted score is Almere City FC 2–1 Dordrecht, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Almere City FC vs Dordrecht?
Almere City FC vs Dordrecht (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 17 April 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Yanmar Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Cambuur1
ADO Den Haag5