ADO Den Haag 55%Draw 23%Waalwijk 22%Expected goals 1.97 – 1.23
78%
Betarazi pick
ADO Den Haag or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultADO Den Haag to win ✓55% · @1.70
Double chanceADO Den Haag or draw ✓78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.28
ADO Den Haag vs Waalwijk: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 17 April the Eerste Divisie brings ADO Den Haag against Waalwijk at Bingoal Stadion. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT.
Current form
ADO Den Haag, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Dordrecht, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Waalwijk, last 5: WDWDW Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Emmen, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.8 a game lately.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give ADO Den Haag 2.0 xG, Waalwijk 1.2 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 62% for three or more goals, 64% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – ADO Den Haag 55%, draw 23%, Waalwijk 22%.
Lower-risk option: ADO Den Haag or draw (78%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was ADO Den Haag or draw (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: ADO Den Haag 1–1 Waalwijk. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
ADO Den Haag55%fair 1.80 · @1.70
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @4.20
Waalwijk22%fair 4.65 · @4.20
3.20Expected goals
1.97ADO Den Haag xG
1.23Waalwijk xG
64%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–110%
1–08%
2–08%
3–16%
1–26%
From our goals model: ADO Den Haag 2.0 – 1.2 Waalwijk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
ADO Den Haag
Waalwijk
Attack vs Eerste Divisie average
+14%
+2%
Goals conceded vs average
-23%
-10%
Our expected goals here
1.85
1.25
Our own ratings from every Eerste Divisie result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
ADO Den Haag to win✓
55%
1.80
1.70
Double chance
ADO Den Haag or draw✓
78%
1.27
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.56
1.50
Draw no bet
ADO Den Haag (draw no bet)✓
72%
1.39
–
Asian handicap
Waalwijk +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
1.15
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.60
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
59%
1.69
1.62
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
1.25
First team to score
ADO Den Haag to score first✓
59%
1.70
–
Half-time result
ADO Den Haag ahead at half-time✓
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT ADO Den Haag / FT ADO Den Haag✓
34%
2.93
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.28
–
Recent results
ADO Den Haag – last 6
LWWWWW
12 Apr
@ Dordrecht
0–1
L
6 Apr
vs FC Eindhoven
4–0
W
3 Apr
vs Jong Ajax
4–2
W
22 Mar
@ De Graafschap
2–1
W
17 Mar
vs Jong Utrecht
1–0
W
13 Mar
@ Emmen
1–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Waalwijk – last 6
WDWDWW
10 Apr
vs Emmen
5–0
W
6 Apr
@ Helmond Sport
2–2
D
3 Apr
@ MVV
3–1
W
17 Mar
@ Almere City FC
2–2
D
13 Mar
vs Jong AZ
2–1
W
6 Mar
@ VVV Venlo
3–0
W
2.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between ADO Den Haag and Waalwijk.
What is the prediction for ADO Den Haag vs Waalwijk?
Our pick is ADO Den Haag or draw with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win ADO Den Haag vs Waalwijk?
On our numbers ADO Den Haag have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Waalwijk 22%.
How many goals will there be in ADO Den Haag vs Waalwijk?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for ADO Den Haag vs Waalwijk?
Our predicted score is ADO Den Haag 1–1 Waalwijk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is ADO Den Haag vs Waalwijk?
ADO Den Haag vs Waalwijk (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 17 April 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Bingoal Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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