Roda 56%Draw 22%Emmen 23%Expected goals 1.92 – 1.25
64%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.42 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.42Odds
Picks by market
ResultRoda to win ✗56% · @1.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.13
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.33
Roda vs Emmen: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 17 April the Eerste Divisie brings Roda against Emmen at Parkstad Limburg Stadion. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, Roda are 14th, lower half, on 0 points after 0 matches; Emmen are 6th (upper half) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Roda, last 5: WLWDL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over FC Eindhoven, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Emmen, last 5: LWDLD Their latest outing: 0–5 defeat to Waalwijk, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Roda 1.9 xG, Emmen 1.3 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 64% for three or more goals, 62% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Roda 56%, draw 22%, Emmen 23%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.45.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (64%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: Roda 2–1 Emmen. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Roda56%fair 1.80 · @1.60
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @4.33
Emmen23%fair 4.40 · @4.60
3.18Expected goals
1.92Roda xG
1.25Emmen xG
62%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–110%
1–08%
2–08%
1–26%
3–16%
From our goals model: Roda 1.9 – 1.3 Emmen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Roda
Emmen
Attack vs Eerste Divisie average
-17%
-3%
Goals conceded vs average
-19%
+15%
Our expected goals here
1.72
1.24
Our own ratings from every Eerste Divisie result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Roda to win✗
56%
1.80
1.60
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.62
1.45
Draw no bet
Roda (draw no bet)
71%
1.41
–
Asian handicap
Emmen +1 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.13
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.42
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
57%
1.74
1.75
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.30
First team to score
Roda to score first✓
58%
1.72
–
Half-time result
Roda ahead at half-time✓
40%
2.50
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Roda / FT Roda✗
33%
3.02
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.33
–
Recent results
Roda – last 6
WLWDLD
10 Apr
@ FC Eindhoven
3–1
W
6 Apr
vs Willem II
0–1
L
3 Apr
@ Dordrecht
3–0
W
20 Mar
vs Helmond Sport
1–1
D
16 Mar
vs Vitesse
0–1
L
13 Mar
@ Cambuur
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Emmen – last 6
LWDLDL
10 Apr
@ Waalwijk
0–5
L
6 Apr
vs MVV
2–1
W
3 Apr
@ Vitesse
3–3
D
24 Mar
vs Cambuur
2–4
L
20 Mar
vs VVV Venlo
2–2
D
13 Mar
vs ADO Den Haag
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Roda and Emmen.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Roda vs Emmen?
On our numbers Roda have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Emmen 23%.
How many goals will there be in Roda vs Emmen?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Roda vs Emmen?
Our predicted score is Roda 2–1 Emmen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Roda vs Emmen?
Roda vs Emmen (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 17 April 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Parkstad Limburg Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.