Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.35 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.35Odds
Picks by market
ResultVitesse to win ✗63% · @1.33
Double chanceVitesse or draw ✓84% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗84% · @1.10
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.10
Vitesse vs MVV: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:00 WAT, Friday 17 April: Vitesse v MVV in the Eerste Divisie, played at GelreDome. In the table, Vitesse are 15th, lower half, on 0 points after 0 matches; MVV are 8th (upper half) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Vitesse, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Jong Utrecht, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
MVV, last 5: LLLDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Emmen, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Vitesse, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.8 for MVV.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Vitesse 2.1 xG, MVV 1.1 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 66% and GG at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Vitesse 63%, draw 21%, MVV 16%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.53.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vitesse 2–1 MVV. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Vitesse63%fair 1.58 · @1.33
Draw21%fair 4.75 · @5.25
MVV16%fair 6.35 · @7.75
3.19Expected goals
2.11Vitesse xG
1.08MVV xG
63%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–19%
2–09%
1–09%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Vitesse 2.1 – 1.1 MVV expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Vitesse
MVV
Attack vs Eerste Divisie average
-12%
-19%
Goals conceded vs average
-16%
+14%
Our expected goals here
1.82
1.08
Our own ratings from every Eerste Divisie result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vitesse to win✗
63%
1.58
1.33
Double chance
Vitesse or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.07
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.59
1.53
Draw no bet
Vitesse (draw no bet)
80%
1.25
–
Asian handicap
Vitesse -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
84%
1.19
1.10
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
1.35
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
1.90
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.38
First team to score
Vitesse to score first✗
63%
1.58
–
Half-time result
Vitesse ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vitesse / FT Vitesse✗
39%
2.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.10
–
Recent results
Vitesse – last 6
WWDWWL
13 Apr
@ Jong Utrecht
3–0
W
6 Apr
vs Jong Ajax
6–1
W
3 Apr
vs Emmen
3–3
D
20 Mar
@ Jong PSV U21
2–0
W
16 Mar
@ Roda
1–0
W
13 Mar
vs Almere City FC
1–3
L
2.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
MVV – last 6
LLLDWD
6 Apr
@ Emmen
1–2
L
3 Apr
vs Waalwijk
1–3
L
22 Mar
vs Willem II
0–5
L
16 Mar
@ Jong AZ
1–1
D
13 Mar
vs VVV Venlo
2–1
W
6 Mar
@ Dordrecht
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vitesse and MVV.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Vitesse vs MVV?
On our numbers Vitesse have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and MVV 16%.
How many goals will there be in Vitesse vs MVV?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vitesse vs MVV?
Our predicted score is Vitesse 2–1 MVV, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Vitesse vs MVV?
Vitesse vs MVV (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 17 April 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at GelreDome.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Cambuur1
ADO Den Haag5