Helmond Sport 32%Draw 22%VVV Venlo 45%Expected goals 1.48 – 1.92
82%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: VVV Venlo to win @ 2.40 – our chance 45% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultVVV Venlo to win ✗45% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.99
Helmond Sport vs VVV Venlo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:00 WAT, Friday 17 April: Helmond Sport v VVV Venlo in the Eerste Divisie, played at GS Staalwerken Stadion. In the table, Helmond Sport are 7th, upper half, on 0 points after 0 matches; VVV Venlo are 2nd (among the top four) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Helmond Sport, last 5: DLDLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Waalwijk, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
VVV Venlo, last 5: LWDLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Jong PSV U21, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Helmond Sport 1.5 xG, VVV Venlo 1.9 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 62% and GG at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Helmond Sport 32%, draw 22%, VVV Venlo 45%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: VVV Venlo to win @2.40 – the bookmaker implies 42%, our ratings say 45%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (82%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Helmond Sport 1–1 VVV Venlo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Helmond Sport32%fair 3.08 · @2.70
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.55
VVV Venlo45%fair 2.20 · @2.40
3.40Expected goals
1.48Helmond Sport xG
1.92VVV Venlo xG
63%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
1–29%
2–17%
2–27%
0–16%
0–26%
From our goals model: Helmond Sport 1.5 – 1.9 VVV Venlo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Helmond Sport
VVV Venlo
Attack vs Eerste Divisie average
-2%
+27%
Goals conceded vs average
+22%
-4%
Our expected goals here
1.69
2.45
Our own ratings from every Eerste Divisie result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
VVV Venlo to win✗
45%
2.20
2.40 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.60
1.50
Draw no bet
VVV Venlo (draw no bet)✗
58%
1.72
–
Asian handicap
Helmond Sport +1 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.48
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.18
First team to score
VVV Venlo to score first✗
55%
1.83
–
Half-time result
VVV Venlo ahead at half-time✗
37%
2.68
–
Half-time / full-time
HT VVV Venlo / FT VVV Venlo✗
30%
3.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.99
–
Recent results
Helmond Sport – last 6
DLDLLD
6 Apr
vs Waalwijk
2–2
D
3 Apr
@ Jong AZ
0–2
L
20 Mar
@ Roda
1–1
D
16 Mar
vs Cambuur
0–1
L
13 Mar
@ Jong Utrecht
0–1
L
6 Mar
vs FC OSS
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
VVV Venlo – last 6
LWDLLL
6 Apr
@ Jong PSV U21
0–1
L
3 Apr
vs Cambuur
3–0
W
20 Mar
@ Emmen
2–2
D
17 Mar
vs Jong Ajax
0–1
L
13 Mar
@ MVV
1–2
L
6 Mar
vs Waalwijk
0–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Helmond Sport and VVV Venlo.
What is the prediction for Helmond Sport vs VVV Venlo?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Helmond Sport vs VVV Venlo?
On our numbers Helmond Sport have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 22% and VVV Venlo 45%.
How many goals will there be in Helmond Sport vs VVV Venlo?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Helmond Sport vs VVV Venlo?
Our predicted score is Helmond Sport 1–1 VVV Venlo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Helmond Sport vs VVV Venlo?
Helmond Sport vs VVV Venlo (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 17 April 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at GS Staalwerken Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Cambuur1
ADO Den Haag5