Jong PSV U21 vs Jong Ajax: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Jong PSV U21 welcome Jong Ajax to De Herdgang for a Eerste Divisie fixture on Friday 17 April (19:00 WAT). In the table, Jong PSV U21 are 17th, lower half, on 0 points after 0 matches; Jong Ajax are 18th (in the drop zone) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Jong PSV U21, last 5: WWLLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Jong AZ, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Jong Ajax, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to FC OSS, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Jong PSV U21 1.9 xG, Jong Ajax 1.4 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 68% for three or more goals, 69% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Jong PSV U21 53%, draw 21%, Jong Ajax 26%.
GG/NG: GG (69%) at 1.30.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (69%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Jong PSV U21 1–1 Jong Ajax. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Jong PSV U2153%fair 1.90 · @1.77
Draw21%fair 4.71 · @4.20
Jong Ajax26%fair 3.81 · @3.75
3.32Expected goals
1.91Jong PSV U21 xG
1.41Jong Ajax xG
69%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–19%
1–07%
1–27%
2–07%
2–27%
From our goals model: Jong PSV U21 1.9 – 1.4 Jong Ajax expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Jong PSV U21
Jong Ajax
Attack vs Eerste Divisie average
-26%
-8%
Goals conceded vs average
-7%
+21%
Our expected goals here
1.62
1.35
Our own ratings from every Eerste Divisie result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Jong PSV U21 to win✗
53%
1.90
1.77
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
69%
1.45
1.30
Draw no bet
Jong PSV U21 (draw no bet)✗
67%
1.50
–
Asian handicap
Jong Ajax +1 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
85%
1.17
1.09
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.46
1.30
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
2.00
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.44
First team to score
Jong PSV U21 to score first✗
56%
1.80
–
Half-time result
Jong PSV U21 ahead at half-time✗
38%
2.63
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Jong PSV U21 / FT Jong PSV U21✗
31%
3.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.75
–
Recent results
Jong PSV U21 – last 6
WWLLLL
13 Apr
@ Jong AZ
2–0
W
6 Apr
vs VVV Venlo
1–0
W
3 Apr
@ Willem II
0–1
L
20 Mar
vs Vitesse
0–2
L
16 Mar
@ Den Bosch
0–1
L
13 Mar
vs FC Eindhoven
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Jong Ajax – last 6
LLLLWW
13 Apr
vs FC OSS
1–2
L
6 Apr
@ Vitesse
1–6
L
3 Apr
@ ADO Den Haag
2–4
L
20 Mar
vs Almere City FC
0–2
L
17 Mar
@ VVV Venlo
1–0
W
13 Mar
vs Den Bosch
3–2
W
1.3Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Jong PSV U21 and Jong Ajax.
What is the prediction for Jong PSV U21 vs Jong Ajax?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Jong PSV U21 vs Jong Ajax?
On our numbers Jong PSV U21 have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Jong Ajax 26%.
How many goals will there be in Jong PSV U21 vs Jong Ajax?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jong PSV U21 vs Jong Ajax?
Our predicted score is Jong PSV U21 1–1 Jong Ajax, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Jong PSV U21 vs Jong Ajax?
Jong PSV U21 vs Jong Ajax (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 17 April 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at De Herdgang.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Cambuur1
ADO Den Haag5