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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Waalwijk v Jong PSV U21: numbers & prediction

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands · Mandemakers Stadion
4–1
FT
Waalwijk 57%Draw 23%Jong PSV U21 20% Expected goals 2.01 – 1.17
65%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.38 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.38Odds

Picks by market

ResultWaalwijk to win ✓57% · @1.62
Double chanceWaalwijk or draw ✓80% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.38
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · @1.11
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.17

Waalwijk vs Jong PSV U21: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Jong PSV U21 travel to face Waalwijk on Friday 24 April in the Eerste Divisie, with Mandemakers Stadion the venue – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT. In the table, Waalwijk are 12th, lower half, on 0 points after 0 matches; Jong PSV U21 are 17th (lower half) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Waalwijk, last 5: LWDWD Their latest outing: 1–5 defeat to ADO Den Haag, away. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game.

Jong PSV U21, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Jong Ajax, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Momentum favours Waalwijk, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for Jong PSV U21.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Waalwijk 2.0 xG, Jong PSV U21 1.2 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 65% and GG at 65%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Waalwijk 57%, draw 23%, Jong PSV U21 20%.
  • Lower-risk option: Waalwijk or draw (80%) at 1.18.
  • GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.38.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (65%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: Waalwijk 2–1 Jong PSV U21. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Waalwijk57%fair 1.74 · @1.62
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @4.33
Jong PSV U2120%fair 4.99 · @4.60
3.18Expected goals
2.01Waalwijk xG
1.17Jong PSV U21 xG
65%Both score
65%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
1–110%
2–08%
1–08%
3–17%
2–26%

From our goals model: Waalwijk 2.0 – 1.2 Jong PSV U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

WaalwijkJong PSV U21
Attack vs Eerste Divisie average+2%-26%
Goals conceded vs average-10%-7%
Our expected goals here1.721.05

Our own ratings from every Eerste Divisie result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultWaalwijk to win ✓57%1.741.62
Double chanceWaalwijk or draw ✓80%1.251.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓65%1.541.38
Draw no betWaalwijk (draw no bet) ✓74%1.35–
Asian handicapJong PSV U21 +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗66%1.52–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84%1.191.11
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓65%1.541.38
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗56%1.791.85
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗74%1.351.36
First team to scoreWaalwijk to score first ✓61%1.65–
Half-time resultWaalwijk ahead at half-time ✓42%2.36–
Half-time / full-timeHT Waalwijk / FT Waalwijk ✓36%2.78–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.17–

Recent results

Waalwijk – last 6

LWDWDW
17 Apr@ ADO Den Haag1–5L
10 Aprvs Emmen5–0W
6 Apr@ Helmond Sport2–2D
3 Apr@ MVV3–1W
17 Mar@ Almere City FC2–2D
13 Marvs Jong AZ2–1W
2.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Jong PSV U21 – last 6

LWWLLL
17 Aprvs Jong Ajax0–1L
13 Apr@ Jong AZ2–0W
6 Aprvs VVV Venlo1–0W
3 Apr@ Willem II0–1L
20 Marvs Vitesse0–2L
16 Mar@ Den Bosch0–1L
0.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Waalwijk and Jong PSV U21.

Waalwijk vs Jong PSV U21 head-to-head page →

Eerste Divisie table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Heracles141121+2935
2VVV Venlo14923+1529
3Almere City FC14914+1628
4NAC Breda14743+525
5Roda14743+125
6Emmen14815025
7FC Volendam14716+922
8MVV14626-1020
9Den Bosch14545+219
10Vitesse13535-118
11Waalwijk14383+317
12Jong AZ14527+217
13Jong PSV U2114455-417
14Jong Ajax14446-816
15De Graafschap13436-1015
16FC OSS14428-314
17Helmond Sport14338-612
18Dordrecht14338-1612
19Jong Utrecht14329-1111
20FC Eindhoven14329-1311

More Eerste Divisie predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Waalwijk vs Jong PSV U21?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.

Who will win Waalwijk vs Jong PSV U21?

On our numbers Waalwijk have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Jong PSV U21 20%.

How many goals will there be in Waalwijk vs Jong PSV U21?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Waalwijk vs Jong PSV U21?

Our predicted score is Waalwijk 2–1 Jong PSV U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Waalwijk vs Jong PSV U21?

Waalwijk vs Jong PSV U21 (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 24 April 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Mandemakers Stadion.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.