Barnet vs Swindon Town: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:45 WAT, Tuesday 17 February: Barnet v Swindon Town in the League Two, played at The Hive Stadium. In the table, Barnet are 2nd, among the top four, on 26 points after 13 matches; Swindon Town are 13th (lower half) with 19.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Barnet 1.8 xG, Swindon Town 0.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Barnet 59%, draw 24%, Swindon Town 17%.
Lower-risk option: Barnet or draw (83%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.77.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Barnet 1–1 Swindon Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Barnet59%fair 1.71 · @1.72
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.65
Swindon Town17%fair 5.75 · @4.65
2.79Expected goals
1.85Barnet xG
0.94Swindon Town xG
59%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
3–06%
0–06%
From our goals model: Barnet 1.8 – 0.9 Swindon Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Barnet
Swindon Town
Attack vs League Two average
+42%
-16%
Goals conceded vs average
+8%
-10%
Our expected goals here
1.98
1.04
Our own ratings from every League Two result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Barnet to win✗
59%
1.71
1.72
Double chance
Barnet or draw✗
83%
1.21
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.68
1.77 ▲
Draw no bet
Barnet (draw no bet)✗
77%
1.30
–
Asian handicap
Swindon Town +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.11
First team to score
Barnet to score first✓
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
Barnet ahead at half-time✓
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Barnet / FT Barnet✗
37%
2.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.12
–
Recent results
Barnet
No recent results on record.
Swindon Town
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Barnet and Swindon Town.
What is the prediction for Barnet vs Swindon Town?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Barnet vs Swindon Town?
On our numbers Barnet have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Swindon Town 17%.
How many goals will there be in Barnet vs Swindon Town?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Barnet vs Swindon Town?
Our predicted score is Barnet 1–1 Swindon Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Barnet vs Swindon Town?
Barnet vs Swindon Town (League Two) kicks off on Tuesday 17 February 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at The Hive Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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