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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Crewe v Fleetwood Town: numbers & prediction

League Two · England · Alexandra Stadium
Crewe 43%Draw 26%Fleetwood Town 31% Expected goals 1.44 – 1.17
73%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.28 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultCrewe to win ✗43% · @2.22
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.20

Crewe vs Fleetwood Town: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Fleetwood Town travel to face Crewe on Tuesday 17 February in the League Two, with Alexandra Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 20:45 WAT. In the table, Crewe are 4th, among the top four, on 22 points after 14 matches; Fleetwood Town are 16th (lower half) with 17.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Crewe 1.4 xG, Fleetwood Town 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Crewe 43%, draw 26%, Fleetwood Town 31%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.67.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Crewe 1–1 Fleetwood Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Crewe43%fair 2.32 · @2.22
Draw26%fair 3.83 · @3.35
Fleetwood Town31%fair 3.25 · @3.10
2.61Expected goals
1.44Crewe xG
1.17Fleetwood Town xG
56%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
0–19%
2–08%
0–07%

From our goals model: Crewe 1.4 – 1.2 Fleetwood Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

CreweFleetwood Town
Attack vs League Two average-9%-4%
Goals conceded vs average+1%-1%
Our expected goals here1.391.11

Our own ratings from every League Two result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCrewe to win ✗43%2.322.22
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74%1.351.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗56%1.781.67
Draw no betCrewe (draw no bet) ✗58%1.71–
Asian handicapFleetwood Town +1 (Asian handicap) ✓73%1.37–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73%1.361.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓50%1.981.90
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓72%1.391.33
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.161.11
First team to scoreCrewe to score first ✗51%1.95–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.33–
Half-time / full-timeHT Crewe / FT Crewe ✗26%3.92–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.20–

Recent results

Crewe

No recent results on record.

Fleetwood Town

No recent results on record.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Crewe and Fleetwood Town.

Crewe vs Fleetwood Town head-to-head page →

League Two table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Salford City141013+1031
2Barnet13751+1026
3Walsall13571+922
4Crewe14572022
5Cheltenham14635-221
6Grimsby14554+620
7York14554+320
8Gillingham14554+120
9Accrington ST14473+619
10Chesterfield14545+319
11Tranmere14473+219
12Exeter City14545+219
13Swindon Town14545-219
14Newport County14464+318
15Shrewsbury14536-518
16Fleetwood Town14455017
17Bristol Rovers14518-616
18Oldham14437-415
19Port Vale12435-415
20Rochdale14437-915
21Northampton13355-114
22Rotherham14266-712
23Colchester13265-712
24Crawley Town12237-89

More League Two predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Crewe vs Fleetwood Town?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Crewe vs Fleetwood Town?

On our numbers Crewe have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Fleetwood Town 31%.

How many goals will there be in Crewe vs Fleetwood Town?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Crewe vs Fleetwood Town?

Our predicted score is Crewe 1–1 Fleetwood Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Crewe vs Fleetwood Town?

Crewe vs Fleetwood Town (League Two) kicks off on Tuesday 17 February 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Alexandra Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.