Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.91 – our chance 58% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBarrow to win ✗51% · @1.81
Double chanceBarrow or draw ✗77% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.97
Barrow vs Harrogate Town: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 17 February the League Two brings Barrow against Harrogate Town at Holker Street. Kick-off: 20:45 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Barrow 1.5 xG, Harrogate Town 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Barrow 51%, draw 26%, Harrogate Town 23%.
Lower-risk option: Barrow or draw (77%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.91.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Barrow 1–1 Harrogate Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Barrow51%fair 1.96 · @1.81
Draw26%fair 3.87 · @3.45
Harrogate Town23%fair 4.33 · @4.45
2.54Expected goals
1.47Barrow xG
1.07Harrogate Town xG
58%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–012%
2–19%
2–09%
0–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: Barrow 1.5 – 1.1 Harrogate Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Barrow
Harrogate Town
Attack vs League Two average
-6%
+3%
Goals conceded vs average
+8%
-4%
Our expected goals here
1.39
1.28
Our own ratings from every League Two result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Barrow to win✗
51%
1.96
1.81
Double chance
Barrow or draw✗
77%
1.30
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.74
1.91 ▲
Draw no bet
Barrow (draw no bet)✗
69%
1.45
–
Asian handicap
Harrogate Town +1 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
1.08
First team to score
Barrow to score first✗
53%
1.88
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Barrow / FT Barrow✗
27%
3.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.97
–
Recent results
Barrow
No recent results on record.
Harrogate Town
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Barrow and Harrogate Town.
What is the prediction for Barrow vs Harrogate Town?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Barrow vs Harrogate Town?
On our numbers Barrow have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Harrogate Town 23%.
How many goals will there be in Barrow vs Harrogate Town?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Barrow vs Harrogate Town?
Our predicted score is Barrow 1–1 Harrogate Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Barrow vs Harrogate Town?
Barrow vs Harrogate Town (League Two) kicks off on Tuesday 17 February 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Holker Street.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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