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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Milton Keynes Dons v Crawley Town: numbers & prediction

League Two · England · Stadium MK
Milton Keynes Dons 62%Draw 23%Crawley Town 15% Expected goals 1.93 – 0.85
77%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultMilton Keynes Dons to win ✗62% · @1.53
Double chanceMilton Keynes Dons or draw ✓85% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.19

Milton Keynes Dons vs Crawley Town: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Crawley Town travel to face Milton Keynes Dons on Tuesday 17 February in the League Two, with Stadium MK the venue – the ball rolls at 20:45 WAT.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Milton Keynes Dons 1.9 xG, Crawley Town 0.8 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Milton Keynes Dons 62%, draw 23%, Crawley Town 15%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.70.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Milton Keynes Dons 2–0 Crawley Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Milton Keynes Dons62%fair 1.61 · @1.53
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @4.10
Crawley Town15%fair 6.78 · @5.90
2.77Expected goals
1.93Milton Keynes Dons xG
0.85Crawley Town xG
55%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%

From our goals model: Milton Keynes Dons 1.9 – 0.8 Crawley Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Milton Keynes DonsCrawley Town
Attack vs League Two average+3%-16%
Goals conceded vs average-16%+14%
Our expected goals here1.810.80

Our own ratings from every League Two result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMilton Keynes Dons to win ✗62%1.611.53
Double chanceMilton Keynes Dons or draw ✓85%1.171.12
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗55%1.831.70
Draw no betMilton Keynes Dons (draw no bet)81%1.24–
Asian handicapMilton Keynes Dons -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77%1.301.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗54%1.841.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓67%1.481.45
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓83%1.211.18
First team to scoreMilton Keynes Dons to score first ✗65%1.53–
Half-time resultMilton Keynes Dons ahead at half-time ✗45%2.22–
Half-time / full-timeHT Milton Keynes Dons / FT Milton Keynes Dons ✗40%2.50–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.19–

Recent results

Milton Keynes Dons

No recent results on record.

Crawley Town

No recent results on record.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Milton Keynes Dons and Crawley Town.

Milton Keynes Dons vs Crawley Town head-to-head page →

League Two table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Salford City141013+1031
2Barnet13751+1026
3Walsall13571+922
4Crewe14572022
5Cheltenham14635-221
6Grimsby14554+620
7York14554+320
8Gillingham14554+120
9Accrington ST14473+619
10Chesterfield14545+319
11Tranmere14473+219
12Exeter City14545+219
13Swindon Town14545-219
14Newport County14464+318
15Shrewsbury14536-518
16Fleetwood Town14455017
17Bristol Rovers14518-616
18Oldham14437-415
19Port Vale12435-415
20Rochdale14437-915
21Northampton13355-114
22Rotherham14266-712
23Colchester13265-712
24Crawley Town12237-89

More League Two predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Milton Keynes Dons vs Crawley Town?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Milton Keynes Dons vs Crawley Town?

On our numbers Milton Keynes Dons have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Crawley Town 15%.

How many goals will there be in Milton Keynes Dons vs Crawley Town?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Milton Keynes Dons vs Crawley Town?

Our predicted score is Milton Keynes Dons 2–0 Crawley Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Milton Keynes Dons vs Crawley Town?

Milton Keynes Dons vs Crawley Town (League Two) kicks off on Tuesday 17 February 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadium MK.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.