Chesterfield vs Gillingham: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Chesterfield welcome Gillingham to SMH Group Stadium for a League Two fixture on Tuesday 17 February (20:45 WAT). In the table, Chesterfield are 10th, upper half, on 19 points after 14 matches; Gillingham are 8th (upper half) with 20. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Chesterfield 1.7 xG, Gillingham 1.2 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 54% for three or more goals, 62% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Chesterfield 46%, draw 24%, Gillingham 30%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chesterfield 1–1 Gillingham. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Chesterfield46%fair 2.17 · @2.20
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.30
Gillingham30%fair 3.38 · @3.20
2.95Expected goals
1.71Chesterfield xG
1.24Gillingham xG
62%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–09%
2–08%
1–27%
0–16%
From our goals model: Chesterfield 1.7 – 1.2 Gillingham expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Chesterfield
Gillingham
Attack vs League Two average
+18%
+3%
Goals conceded vs average
+9%
+8%
Our expected goals here
1.97
1.29
Our own ratings from every League Two result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chesterfield to win✓
46%
2.17
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.62
1.65
Draw no bet
Chesterfield (draw no bet)✓
61%
1.64
–
Asian handicap
Gillingham +1 (Asian handicap)
66%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.35
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.12
First team to score
Chesterfield to score first✓
55%
1.82
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.52
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chesterfield / FT Chesterfield✓
29%
3.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.54
–
Recent results
Chesterfield
No recent results on record.
Gillingham
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chesterfield and Gillingham.
What is the prediction for Chesterfield vs Gillingham?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Chesterfield vs Gillingham?
On our numbers Chesterfield have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Gillingham 30%.
How many goals will there be in Chesterfield vs Gillingham?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chesterfield vs Gillingham?
Our predicted score is Chesterfield 1–1 Gillingham, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Chesterfield vs Gillingham?
Chesterfield vs Gillingham (League Two) kicks off on Tuesday 17 February 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at SMH Group Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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