Oldham vs Bristol Rovers: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 17 February the League Two brings Oldham against Bristol Rovers at Boundary Park. Kick-off: 20:45 WAT. In the table, Oldham are 18th, lower half, on 15 points after 14 matches; Bristol Rovers are 17th (lower half) with 16. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Oldham 1.5 xG, Bristol Rovers 1.0 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Oldham 46%, draw 26%, Bristol Rovers 28%.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Oldham 1–1 Bristol Rovers. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Oldham46%fair 2.19 · @2.20
Draw26%fair 3.84 · @3.20
Bristol Rovers28%fair 3.54 · @3.30
2.48Expected goals
1.47Oldham xG
1.01Bristol Rovers xG
50%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–012%
2–19%
2–09%
0–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: Oldham 1.5 – 1.0 Bristol Rovers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Oldham
Bristol Rovers
Attack vs League Two average
-8%
-10%
Goals conceded vs average
-4%
+13%
Our expected goals here
1.61
0.99
Our own ratings from every League Two result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Oldham to win✓
46%
2.19
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
1.85
Draw no bet
Oldham (draw no bet)✓
62%
1.62
–
Asian handicap
Bristol Rovers +1 (Asian handicap)✗
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
1.08
First team to score
Oldham to score first✓
54%
1.84
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Oldham / FT Oldham✓
28%
3.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.94
–
Recent results
Oldham
No recent results on record.
Bristol Rovers
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Oldham and Bristol Rovers.
What is the prediction for Oldham vs Bristol Rovers?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Oldham vs Bristol Rovers?
On our numbers Oldham have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Bristol Rovers 28%.
How many goals will there be in Oldham vs Bristol Rovers?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Oldham vs Bristol Rovers?
Our predicted score is Oldham 1–1 Bristol Rovers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Oldham vs Bristol Rovers?
Oldham vs Bristol Rovers (League Two) kicks off on Tuesday 17 February 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Boundary Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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