Shrewsbury vs Notts County: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:45 WAT, Tuesday 17 February: Shrewsbury v Notts County in the League Two, played at The Croud Meadow.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Shrewsbury 1.2 xG, Notts County 1.5 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Shrewsbury 31%, draw 26%, Notts County 43%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (70%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: Shrewsbury 1–1 Notts County. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Shrewsbury31%fair 3.25 · @3.20
Draw26%fair 3.82 · @3.10
Notts County43%fair 2.32 · @2.30
2.65Expected goals
1.18Shrewsbury xG
1.47Notts County xG
54%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
0–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Shrewsbury 1.2 – 1.5 Notts County expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Shrewsbury
Notts County
Attack vs League Two average
-3%
+28%
Goals conceded vs average
+12%
-14%
Our expected goals here
1.29
1.64
Our own ratings from every League Two result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Notts County to win✗
43%
2.32
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
1.85
Draw no bet
Notts County (draw no bet)✗
58%
1.71
–
Asian handicap
Shrewsbury +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
1.06
First team to score
Notts County to score first✗
51%
1.94
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Notts County / FT Notts County✗
26%
3.88
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.12
–
Recent results
Shrewsbury
No recent results on record.
Notts County
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Shrewsbury and Notts County.
What is the prediction for Shrewsbury vs Notts County?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Shrewsbury vs Notts County?
On our numbers Shrewsbury have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Notts County 43%.
How many goals will there be in Shrewsbury vs Notts County?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shrewsbury vs Notts County?
Our predicted score is Shrewsbury 1–1 Notts County, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Shrewsbury vs Notts County?
Shrewsbury vs Notts County (League Two) kicks off on Tuesday 17 February 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at The Croud Meadow.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.