Value bet: Barrow to win @ 3.45 – our chance 32% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultChesterfield to win ✓43% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.62
Barrow vs Chesterfield: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Chesterfield travel to face Barrow on Monday 6 April in the League Two, with Holker Street the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT.
Current form
Barrow, last 5: DLLDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Milton Keynes Dons, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Chesterfield, last 5: WLWDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Cheltenham, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Chesterfield, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.3 for Barrow.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Barrow 1.3 xG, Chesterfield 1.4 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Barrow 32%, draw 25%, Chesterfield 43%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Barrow to win @3.45 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 32%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Barrow 1–1 Chesterfield. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Barrow32%fair 3.13 · @3.45
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @3.30
Chesterfield43%fair 2.34 · @2.10
2.77Expected goals
1.34Barrow xG
1.43Chesterfield xG
52%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–26%
From our goals model: Barrow 1.3 – 1.4 Chesterfield expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Barrow
Chesterfield
Attack vs League Two average
-6%
+18%
Goals conceded vs average
+8%
+9%
Our expected goals here
1.58
1.46
Our own ratings from every League Two result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chesterfield to win✓
43%
2.34
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
1.83
Draw no bet
Chesterfield (draw no bet)✓
57%
1.75
–
Asian handicap
Barrow +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
60%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.08
First team to score
Chesterfield to score first✓
49%
2.06
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chesterfield / FT Chesterfield✗
23%
4.32
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.62
–
Recent results
Barrow – last 6
DLLDLL
3 Apr
@ Milton Keynes Dons
0–0
D
17 Mar
@ Salford City
1–3
L
10 Mar
vs Bristol Rovers
0–2
L
6 Mar
@ Cheltenham
2–2
D
21 Feb
@ Fleetwood Town
2–3
L
17 Feb
vs Harrogate Town
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Chesterfield – last 5
WLWDW
3 Apr
vs Cheltenham
1–0
W
17 Mar
vs Oldham
0–3
L
3 Mar
vs Colchester
3–0
W
21 Feb
@ Crawley Town
1–1
D
17 Feb
vs Gillingham
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
20%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Barrow and Chesterfield.
What is the prediction for Barrow vs Chesterfield?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Barrow vs Chesterfield?
On our numbers Barrow have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Chesterfield 43%.
How many goals will there be in Barrow vs Chesterfield?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Barrow vs Chesterfield?
Our predicted score is Barrow 1–1 Chesterfield, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Barrow vs Chesterfield?
Barrow vs Chesterfield (League Two) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Holker Street.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Cambridge United1
Harrogate Town2
Milton Keynes Dons1