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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Crewe v Salford City: numbers & prediction

League Two · England · Alexandra Stadium

Crewe

LDWL
1–0
FT
Crewe 32%Draw 26%Salford City 43% Expected goals 1.21 – 1.46
74%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.30 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.30Odds

Picks by market

ResultSalford City to win ✗43% · @2.28
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.21

Crewe vs Salford City: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

15:00 WAT, Monday 6 April: Crewe v Salford City in the League Two, played at Alexandra Stadium. In the table, Crewe are 4th, among the top four, on 22 points after 14 matches; Salford City are 1st (leading the league) with 31.

Current form

Crewe, last 4: LDWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Accrington ST, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Salford City, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Notts County, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Salford City, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for Crewe.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Crewe 1.2 xG, Salford City 1.5 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 60%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Crewe 32%, draw 26%, Salford City 43%.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.67.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Crewe 1–1 Salford City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Crewe32%fair 3.17 · @3.05
Draw26%fair 3.87 · @3.30
Salford City43%fair 2.34 · @2.28
2.67Expected goals
1.21Crewe xG
1.46Salford City xG
60%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
2–17%
0–27%

From our goals model: Crewe 1.2 – 1.5 Salford City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

CreweSalford City
Attack vs League Two average-9%+29%
Goals conceded vs average+1%-12%
Our expected goals here1.231.49

Our own ratings from every League Two result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSalford City to win ✗43%2.342.28
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74%1.351.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗60%1.671.67
Draw no betSalford City (draw no bet) ✗57%1.74–
Asian handicapCrewe +1 (Asian handicap) ✓73%1.36–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74%1.361.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓50%1.991.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓71%1.401.33
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.171.11
First team to scoreSalford City to score first ✗51%1.97–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.36–
Half-time / full-timeHT Salford City / FT Salford City ✗25%3.97–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.21–

Recent results

Crewe – last 4

LDWL
3 Apr@ Accrington ST0–2L
17 Mar@ Cheltenham1–1D
21 Feb@ Swindon Town2–1W
17 Febvs Fleetwood Town0–1L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5

Salford City – last 6

WWWWLL
3 Aprvs Notts County2–1W
17 Marvs Barrow3–1W
10 Marvs Walsall1–0W
7 Marvs Barnet2–0W
3 Mar@ Grimsby1–3L
24 Febvs Shrewsbury1–2L
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Crewe and Salford City.

Crewe vs Salford City head-to-head page →

League Two table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Salford City141013+1031
2Barnet13751+1026
3Walsall13571+922
4Crewe14572022
5Cheltenham14635-221
6Grimsby14554+620
7York14554+320
8Gillingham14554+120
9Accrington ST14473+619
10Chesterfield14545+319
11Tranmere14473+219
12Exeter City14545+219
13Swindon Town14545-219
14Newport County14464+318
15Shrewsbury14536-518
16Fleetwood Town14455017
17Bristol Rovers14518-616
18Oldham14437-415
19Port Vale12435-415
20Rochdale14437-915
21Northampton13355-114
22Rotherham14266-712
23Colchester13265-712
24Crawley Town12237-89

More League Two predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Crewe vs Salford City?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Crewe vs Salford City?

On our numbers Crewe have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Salford City 43%.

How many goals will there be in Crewe vs Salford City?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Crewe vs Salford City?

Our predicted score is Crewe 1–1 Salford City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Crewe vs Salford City?

Crewe vs Salford City (League Two) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Alexandra Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.