Value bet: Accrington ST to win @ 3.75 – our chance 31% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultGillingham to win ✓43% · @1.99
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.54
Gillingham vs Accrington ST: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Gillingham welcome Accrington ST to Priestfield Stadium for a League Two fixture on Monday 6 April (15:00 WAT). In the table, Gillingham are 8th, upper half, on 20 points after 14 matches; Accrington ST are 9th (upper half) with 19. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Gillingham, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Walsall, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.6 goals a game.
Accrington ST, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Crewe, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.6 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Accrington ST, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.2 for Gillingham.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gillingham 1.4 xG, Accrington ST 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gillingham 43%, draw 26%, Accrington ST 31%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Accrington ST to win @3.75 – the bookmaker implies 27%, our ratings say 31%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gillingham 1–1 Accrington ST. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gillingham43%fair 2.31 · @1.99
Draw26%fair 3.91 · @3.30
Accrington ST31%fair 3.21 · @3.75
2.59Expected goals
1.38Gillingham xG
1.21Accrington ST xG
52%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Gillingham 1.4 – 1.2 Accrington ST expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Gillingham
Accrington ST
Attack vs League Two average
+3%
+12%
Goals conceded vs average
+8%
-9%
Our expected goals here
1.45
1.39
Our own ratings from every League Two result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gillingham to win✓
43%
2.31
1.99
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.34
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
1.83
Draw no bet
Gillingham (draw no bet)✓
58%
1.72
–
Asian handicap
Accrington ST +1 (Asian handicap)✗
75%
1.32
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
1.08
First team to score
Gillingham to score first✓
49%
2.02
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gillingham / FT Gillingham✓
24%
4.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.54
–
Recent results
Gillingham – last 5
DLLLL
3 Apr
@ Walsall
2–2
D
17 Mar
vs Swindon Town
0–2
L
10 Mar
vs Milton Keynes Dons
1–5
L
21 Feb
vs Oldham
0–3
L
17 Feb
@ Chesterfield
0–1
L
0.6Scored / game
2.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Accrington ST – last 5
WLLLW
3 Apr
vs Crewe
2–0
W
17 Mar
vs Notts County
0–4
L
24 Feb
vs Barnet
0–1
L
21 Feb
vs Shrewsbury
0–2
L
17 Feb
@ Tranmere
1–0
W
0.6Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
0%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gillingham and Accrington ST.
What is the prediction for Gillingham vs Accrington ST?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Gillingham vs Accrington ST?
On our numbers Gillingham have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Accrington ST 31%.
How many goals will there be in Gillingham vs Accrington ST?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gillingham vs Accrington ST?
Our predicted score is Gillingham 1–1 Accrington ST, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Gillingham vs Accrington ST?
Gillingham vs Accrington ST (League Two) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Priestfield Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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