Oldham vs Milton Keynes Dons: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Oldham welcome Milton Keynes Dons to Boundary Park for a League Two fixture on Monday 6 April (15:00 WAT).
Current form
Oldham, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Colchester, away. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Milton Keynes Dons, last 5: DWWDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Barrow, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Oldham, collecting 2.7 points per game to 2.0 for Milton Keynes Dons.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Oldham 1.2 xG, Milton Keynes Dons 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Oldham 36%, draw 27%, Milton Keynes Dons 36%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.77.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Oldham 1–1 Milton Keynes Dons. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Oldham36%fair 2.75 · @2.72
Draw27%fair 3.67 · @3.20
Milton Keynes Dons36%fair 2.75 · @2.55
2.42Expected goals
1.22Oldham xG
1.20Milton Keynes Dons xG
55%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–111%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Oldham 1.2 – 1.2 Milton Keynes Dons expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Oldham
Milton Keynes Dons
Attack vs League Two average
-8%
+3%
Goals conceded vs average
-4%
-16%
Our expected goals here
1.19
1.13
Our own ratings from every League Two result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Oldham to win✗
36%
2.75
2.72
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.37
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
1.77
Draw no bet
Oldham (draw no bet)
50%
2.00
–
Asian handicap
Milton Keynes Dons +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
1.08
First team to score
Oldham to score first✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Oldham / FT Oldham✗
21%
4.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.57
–
Recent results
Oldham – last 6
WWWDWW
3 Apr
@ Colchester
3–1
W
24 Mar
vs Notts County
3–0
W
17 Mar
@ Chesterfield
3–0
W
3 Mar
@ Bromley
0–0
D
21 Feb
@ Gillingham
3–0
W
17 Feb
vs Bristol Rovers
2–0
W
2.3Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Milton Keynes Dons – last 6
DWWDWD
3 Apr
vs Barrow
0–0
D
18 Mar
vs Colchester
1–0
W
10 Mar
@ Gillingham
5–1
W
28 Feb
@ Cambridge United
1–1
D
23 Feb
@ Walsall
2–0
W
17 Feb
vs Crawley Town
0–0
D
1.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Oldham and Milton Keynes Dons.
What is the prediction for Oldham vs Milton Keynes Dons?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Oldham vs Milton Keynes Dons?
On our numbers Oldham have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Milton Keynes Dons 36%.
How many goals will there be in Oldham vs Milton Keynes Dons?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Oldham vs Milton Keynes Dons?
Our predicted score is Oldham 1–1 Milton Keynes Dons, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Oldham vs Milton Keynes Dons?
Oldham vs Milton Keynes Dons (League Two) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Boundary Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.