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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Oldham v Milton Keynes Dons: numbers & prediction

League Two · England · Boundary Park

Oldham

WWWDW
1–1
FT
Oldham 36%Draw 27%Milton Keynes Dons 36% Expected goals 1.22 – 1.20
76%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultOldham to win ✗36% · @2.72
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.57

Oldham vs Milton Keynes Dons: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Oldham welcome Milton Keynes Dons to Boundary Park for a League Two fixture on Monday 6 April (15:00 WAT).

Current form

Oldham, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Colchester, away. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.

Milton Keynes Dons, last 5: DWWDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Barrow, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Oldham, collecting 2.7 points per game to 2.0 for Milton Keynes Dons.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Oldham 1.2 xG, Milton Keynes Dons 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Oldham 36%, draw 27%, Milton Keynes Dons 36%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.77.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Oldham 1–1 Milton Keynes Dons. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Oldham36%fair 2.75 · @2.72
Draw27%fair 3.67 · @3.20
Milton Keynes Dons36%fair 2.75 · @2.55
2.42Expected goals
1.22Oldham xG
1.20Milton Keynes Dons xG
55%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–011%
0–111%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%

From our goals model: Oldham 1.2 – 1.2 Milton Keynes Dons expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

OldhamMilton Keynes Dons
Attack vs League Two average-8%+3%
Goals conceded vs average-4%-16%
Our expected goals here1.191.13

Our own ratings from every League Two result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultOldham to win ✗36%2.752.72
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73%1.371.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.821.77
Draw no betOldham (draw no bet)50%2.00–
Asian handicapMilton Keynes Dons +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.58–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓70%1.441.36
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓56%1.801.73
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.311.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.131.08
First team to scoreOldham to score first ✗46%2.17–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗45%2.22–
Half-time / full-timeHT Oldham / FT Oldham ✗21%4.76–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.57–

Recent results

Oldham – last 6

WWWDWW
3 Apr@ Colchester3–1W
24 Marvs Notts County3–0W
17 Mar@ Chesterfield3–0W
3 Mar@ Bromley0–0D
21 Feb@ Gillingham3–0W
17 Febvs Bristol Rovers2–0W
2.3Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Milton Keynes Dons – last 6

DWWDWD
3 Aprvs Barrow0–0D
18 Marvs Colchester1–0W
10 Mar@ Gillingham5–1W
28 Feb@ Cambridge United1–1D
23 Feb@ Walsall2–0W
17 Febvs Crawley Town0–0D
1.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Oldham and Milton Keynes Dons.

Oldham vs Milton Keynes Dons head-to-head page →

League Two table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Salford City141013+1031
2Barnet13751+1026
3Walsall13571+922
4Crewe14572022
5Cheltenham14635-221
6Grimsby14554+620
7York14554+320
8Gillingham14554+120
9Accrington ST14473+619
10Chesterfield14545+319
11Tranmere14473+219
12Exeter City14545+219
13Swindon Town14545-219
14Newport County14464+318
15Shrewsbury14536-518
16Fleetwood Town14455017
17Bristol Rovers14518-616
18Oldham14437-415
19Port Vale12435-415
20Rochdale14437-915
21Northampton13355-114
22Rotherham14266-712
23Colchester13265-712
24Crawley Town12237-89

More League Two predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Oldham vs Milton Keynes Dons?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Oldham vs Milton Keynes Dons?

On our numbers Oldham have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Milton Keynes Dons 36%.

How many goals will there be in Oldham vs Milton Keynes Dons?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Oldham vs Milton Keynes Dons?

Our predicted score is Oldham 1–1 Milton Keynes Dons, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Oldham vs Milton Keynes Dons?

Oldham vs Milton Keynes Dons (League Two) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Boundary Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.