Value bet: Harrogate Town to win @ 2.60 – our chance 42% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultHarrogate Town to win ✗42% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.85
Harrogate Town vs Bristol Rovers: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Bristol Rovers travel to face Harrogate Town on Monday 6 April in the League Two, with Exercise Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT.
Current form
Harrogate Town, last 5: WLWDD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Grimsby, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Bristol Rovers, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Fleetwood Town, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Harrogate Town 1.5 xG, Bristol Rovers 1.1 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Harrogate Town 42%, draw 25%, Bristol Rovers 33%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Harrogate Town to win @2.60 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 42%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Harrogate Town 1–1 Bristol Rovers. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Harrogate Town42%fair 2.37 · @2.60
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @3.30
Bristol Rovers33%fair 3.04 · @2.60
2.58Expected goals
1.50Harrogate Town xG
1.08Bristol Rovers xG
59%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
2–09%
0–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: Harrogate Town 1.5 – 1.1 Bristol Rovers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Harrogate Town
Bristol Rovers
Attack vs League Two average
+3%
-10%
Goals conceded vs average
-4%
+13%
Our expected goals here
1.81
0.99
Our own ratings from every League Two result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Harrogate Town to win✗
42%
2.37
2.60 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.80 ▲
Draw no bet
Harrogate Town (draw no bet)✗
56%
1.78
–
Asian handicap
Bristol Rovers +1 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.87
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.34
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
88%
1.14
1.08
First team to score
Harrogate Town to score first✓
54%
1.86
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Harrogate Town / FT Harrogate Town✗
28%
3.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.85
–
Recent results
Harrogate Town – last 6
WLWDDW
3 Apr
@ Grimsby
3–1
W
28 Mar
vs Notts County
0–2
L
17 Mar
@ Tranmere
3–0
W
27 Feb
vs Cheltenham
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Bromley
0–0
D
17 Feb
@ Barrow
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Bristol Rovers – last 6
WWWDWL
3 Apr
vs Fleetwood Town
1–0
W
17 Mar
vs Shrewsbury
1–0
W
10 Mar
@ Barrow
2–0
W
28 Feb
@ Swindon Town
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Grimsby
3–1
W
17 Feb
@ Oldham
0–2
L
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Harrogate Town and Bristol Rovers.
What is the prediction for Harrogate Town vs Bristol Rovers?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Harrogate Town vs Bristol Rovers?
On our numbers Harrogate Town have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Bristol Rovers 33%.
How many goals will there be in Harrogate Town vs Bristol Rovers?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Harrogate Town vs Bristol Rovers?
Our predicted score is Harrogate Town 1–1 Bristol Rovers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Harrogate Town vs Bristol Rovers?
Harrogate Town vs Bristol Rovers (League Two) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Exercise Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.