Value bet: Walsall to win @ 3.45 – our chance 33% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSwindon Town to win ✓40% · @2.08
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8% · fair 12.30
Swindon Town vs Walsall: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Walsall travel to face Swindon Town on Monday 6 April in the League Two, with County Ground the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Swindon Town are 13th, lower half, on 19 points after 14 matches; Walsall are 3rd (among the top four) with 22. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Swindon Town, last 5: DWDLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Cambridge United, away. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Walsall, last 5: DDLLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Gillingham, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Swindon Town, collecting 1.6 points per game to 0.8 for Walsall.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Swindon Town 1.3 xG, Walsall 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Swindon Town 40%, draw 27%, Walsall 33%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.77.
Price worth noting: Walsall to win @3.45 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Swindon Town 1–1 Walsall. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Swindon Town40%fair 2.48 · @2.08
Draw27%fair 3.75 · @3.35
Walsall33%fair 3.02 · @3.45
2.46Expected goals
1.26Swindon Town xG
1.20Walsall xG
57%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Swindon Town 1.3 – 1.2 Walsall expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Swindon Town
Walsall
Attack vs League Two average
-16%
+16%
Goals conceded vs average
-10%
-13%
Our expected goals here
1.13
1.20
Our own ratings from every League Two result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Swindon Town to win✓
40%
2.48
2.08
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.36
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.77
1.77
Draw no bet
Swindon Town (draw no bet)✓
55%
1.82
–
Asian handicap
Walsall +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.85
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
1.09
First team to score
Swindon Town to score first
47%
2.14
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Swindon Town / FT Swindon Town✗
22%
4.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
8%
12.30
–
Recent results
Swindon Town – last 5
DWDLW
2 Apr
@ Cambridge United
1–1
D
17 Mar
@ Gillingham
2–0
W
28 Feb
vs Bristol Rovers
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Crewe
1–2
L
17 Feb
@ Barnet
2–1
W
1.4Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
80%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Walsall – last 6
DDLLWL
3 Apr
vs Gillingham
2–2
D
17 Mar
vs Cambridge United
0–0
D
10 Mar
@ Salford City
0–1
L
3 Mar
vs Fleetwood Town
0–1
L
28 Feb
@ Shrewsbury
2–1
W
23 Feb
vs Milton Keynes Dons
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Swindon Town and Walsall.
What is the prediction for Swindon Town vs Walsall?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Swindon Town vs Walsall?
On our numbers Swindon Town have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Walsall 33%.
How many goals will there be in Swindon Town vs Walsall?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Swindon Town vs Walsall?
Our predicted score is Swindon Town 1–1 Walsall, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Swindon Town vs Walsall?
Swindon Town vs Walsall (League Two) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at County Ground.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Barrow0
Cambridge United1
Harrogate Town2
Milton Keynes Dons1