Crawley Town v Grimsby Prediction & Expected Goals (6 Apr) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultGrimsby to win ✓43% · @2.20

Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.25

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.60

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.13

Crawley Town vs Grimsby: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Monday 6 April the League Two brings Crawley Town against Grimsby at The Broadfield Stadium. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Crawley Town are 24th, in the drop zone, on 9 points after 12 matches; Grimsby are 6th (upper half) with 20.

Current form

Crawley Town, last 5: WDDDD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Newport County, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Grimsby, last 5: LWDWL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Harrogate Town, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Crawley Town 1.3 xG, Grimsby 1.5 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 63%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Crawley Town 32%, draw 25%, Grimsby 43%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.60.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Crawley Town 1–1 Grimsby. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Crawley Town32%fair 3.09 · @3.10

Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.45

Grimsby43%fair 2.32 · @2.20

2.78Expected goals

1.27Crawley Town xG

1.51Grimsby xG

63%Both score

53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%

0–19%

1–29%

1–08%

2–18%

0–27%

From our goals model: Crawley Town 1.3 – 1.5 Grimsby expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

	Crawley Town	Grimsby
Attack vs League Two average	-16%	+25%
Goals conceded vs average	+14%	+5%
Our expected goals here	1.36	1.63

Crawley Town

Grimsby

Attack vs League Two average

-16%

+25%

Goals conceded vs average

+14%

+5%

Our expected goals here

1.36

1.63

Our own ratings from every League Two result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Grimsby to win ✓	43%	2.32	2.20
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	75%	1.33	1.25
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	63%	1.59	1.60
Draw no bet	Grimsby (draw no bet) ✓	57%	1.75	–
Asian handicap	Crawley Town +1 (Asian handicap) ✗	73%	1.37	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	76%	1.32	1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	53%	1.90	1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	69%	1.45	1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	84%	1.19	1.14
First team to score	Grimsby to score first ✓	51%	1.96	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	41%	2.41	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Grimsby / FT Grimsby ✓	25%	3.94	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	9%	11.13	–

Market

Most likely

Chance

Fair odds

Bookmaker

Match result

Grimsby to win ✓

43%

2.32

2.20

Double chance

Either team to win ✓

75%

1.33

1.25

Both teams to score

Both teams to score ✗

63%

1.59

1.60

Draw no bet

Grimsby (draw no bet) ✓

57%

1.75

–

Asian handicap

Crawley Town +1 (Asian handicap) ✗

73%

1.37

–

Over/under 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals ✓

76%

1.32

1.25

Over/under 2.5 goals

Over 2.5 goals ✗

53%

1.90

1.80

Over/under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals ✓

69%

1.45

1.38

Over/under 4.5 goals

Under 4.5 goals ✓

84%

1.19

1.14

First team to score

Grimsby to score first ✓

51%

1.96

–

Half-time result

Level at half-time ✗

41%

2.41

–

Half-time / full-time

HT Grimsby / FT Grimsby ✓

25%

3.94

–

Correct score

Correct score 1–2 ✗

11.13

–

Recent results

Head to head

League Two table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Salford City	14	10	1	3	+10	31
2	Barnet	13	7	5	1	+10	26
3	Walsall	13	5	7	1	+9	22
4	Crewe	14	5	7	2	0	22
5	Cheltenham	14	6	3	5	-2	21
6	Grimsby	14	5	5	4	+6	20
7	York	14	5	5	4	+3	20
8	Gillingham	14	5	5	4	+1	20
9	Accrington ST	14	4	7	3	+6	19
10	Chesterfield	14	5	4	5	+3	19
11	Tranmere	14	4	7	3	+2	19
12	Exeter City	14	5	4	5	+2	19
13	Swindon Town	14	5	4	5	-2	19
14	Newport County	14	4	6	4	+3	18
15	Shrewsbury	14	5	3	6	-5	18
16	Fleetwood Town	14	4	5	5	0	17
17	Bristol Rovers	14	5	1	8	-6	16
18	Oldham	14	4	3	7	-4	15
19	Port Vale	12	4	3	5	-4	15
20	Rochdale	14	4	3	7	-9	15
21	Northampton	13	3	5	5	-1	14
22	Rotherham	14	2	6	6	-7	12
23	Colchester	13	2	6	5	-7	12
24	Crawley Town	12	2	3	7	-8	9

Team

Pts

+10

+10

-2

-2

-5

-6

-4

-4

-9

-1

-7

-7

-8

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Crawley Town vs Grimsby?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Crawley Town vs Grimsby?

On our numbers Crawley Town have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Grimsby 43%.

How many goals will there be in Crawley Town vs Grimsby?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Crawley Town vs Grimsby?

Our predicted score is Crawley Town 1–1 Grimsby, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Crawley Town vs Grimsby?

Crawley Town vs Grimsby (League Two) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at The Broadfield Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

3 Apr	@ Newport County	2–0	W
17 Mar	vs Barnet	1–1	D
13 Mar	@ Colchester	0–0	D
21 Feb	vs Chesterfield	1–1	D
17 Feb	@ Milton Keynes Dons	0–0	D

3 Apr	vs Harrogate Town	1–3	L
17 Mar	vs Fleetwood Town	1–0	W
7 Mar	vs Bromley	1–1	D
3 Mar	vs Salford City	3–1	W
21 Feb	@ Bristol Rovers	1–3	L
18 Feb	vs Walsall	2–2	D

Crawley Town v Grimsby: numbers & prediction

Crawley Town

Grimsby

Over 1.5 goals

Picks by market

Crawley Town vs Grimsby: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Current form

Where the goals come from

Markets worth a look

Our call before kick-off

Result chances

Score grid: top six

Team ratings (Betarazi)

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Recent results

Crawley Town – last 5

Grimsby – last 6

Head to head

League Two table

More League Two predictions

Frequently asked questions