Blackburn v Leicester Prediction & Expected Goals (2 May) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultBlackburn to win ✗41% · @2.18

Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.65

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · @1.25

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.95

Blackburn vs Leicester: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Leicester travel to face Blackburn on Saturday 2 May in the Championship, with Ewood Park the venue – the ball rolls at 12:30 WAT.

Current form

Blackburn, last 5: WDLDW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Sheffield Utd, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Leicester, last 5: DDDWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Hull City, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Blackburn 1.4 xG, Leicester 1.4 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 61%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Blackburn 41%, draw 24%, Leicester 35%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.65.
Price worth noting: Leicester to win @3.05 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 35%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Blackburn 1–1 Leicester. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Blackburn41%fair 2.46 · @2.18

Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.55

Leicester35%fair 2.83 · @3.05

2.82Expected goals

1.41Blackburn xG

1.41Leicester xG

61%Both score

53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%

1–08%

0–18%

2–18%

1–28%

0–06%

From our goals model: Blackburn 1.4 – 1.4 Leicester expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Blackburn to win ✗	41%	2.46	2.18
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	76%	1.32	1.25
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	61%	1.65	1.65
Draw no bet	Blackburn (draw no bet) ✗	53%	1.87	–
Asian handicap	Leicester +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	63%	1.60	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	76%	1.31	1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	53%	1.88	1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	69%	1.46	1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	84%	1.19	1.13
First team to score	Blackburn to score first ✗	47%	2.12	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	41%	2.43	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Blackburn / FT Blackburn ✗	22%	4.58	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	8%	11.95	–

Blackburn – last 6

WDLDWL

22 Apr	@ Sheffield Utd	3–1	W
17 Apr	vs Coventry	1–1	D
14 Apr	@ Southampton	0–3	L
6 Apr	vs West Brom	0–0	D
3 Apr	@ Birmingham	1–0	W
11 Mar	@ Oxford United	0–1	L

0.8Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

33%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Leicester – last 6

DDDWLD

21 Apr	vs Hull City	2–2	D
6 Apr	@ Sheffield Wednesday	1–1	D
3 Apr	vs Preston	2–2	D
10 Mar	vs Bristol City	2–0	W
28 Feb	vs Norwich	0–2	L
24 Feb	@ Middlesbrough	1–1	D

1.3Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

67%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Birmingham	15	8	5	2	+14	29
2	Middlesbrough	15	8	5	2	+11	29
3	Stoke City	15	9	2	4	+6	29
4	Wolves	15	8	4	3	+8	28
5	West Brom	15	8	4	3	+8	28
6	Swansea	15	8	2	5	+4	26
7	Southampton	15	8	4	3	+14	24
8	QPR	15	6	6	3	+6	24
9	West Ham	15	6	5	4	+14	23
10	Sheffield Utd	15	6	4	5	+2	22
11	Portsmouth	15	6	4	5	+2	22
12	Norwich	15	7	0	8	+8	21
13	Blackburn	15	6	3	6	-1	21
14	Cardiff	15	4	6	5	0	18
15	Wrexham	15	4	6	5	-2	18
16	Millwall	15	5	3	7	-4	18
17	Bristol City	15	5	3	7	-8	18
18	Bolton	15	5	2	8	-9	17
19	Charlton	15	4	5	6	-10	17
20	Watford	15	4	3	8	-10	15
21	Lincoln	15	4	3	8	-11	15
22	Burnley	15	1	7	7	-9	10
23	Derby	15	2	4	9	-16	10
24	Preston	15	2	2	11	-17	8

Team

Pts

+14

+11

+14

+14

-1

-2

-4

-8

-9

-10

-10

-11

-9

-16

-17

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Blackburn vs Leicester?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Blackburn vs Leicester?

On our numbers Blackburn have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Leicester 35%.

How many goals will there be in Blackburn vs Leicester?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Blackburn vs Leicester?

Our predicted score is Blackburn 1–1 Leicester, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Blackburn vs Leicester?

Blackburn vs Leicester (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 2 May 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Ewood Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Blackburn v Leicester: numbers & prediction