Ipswich v QPR Prediction & Expected Goals (2 May) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultIpswich to win ✓63% · @1.27

Double chanceIpswich or draw ✓82% · @1.04

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.95

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.18

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.21

Ipswich vs QPR: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 2 May the Championship brings Ipswich against QPR at Portman Road. Kick-off: 12:30 WAT.

Current form

Ipswich, last 5: DWDLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Southampton, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

QPR, last 5: LDWLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Swansea, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours Ipswich, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.7 for QPR.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ipswich 2.0 xG, QPR 1.2 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 59% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Ipswich 63%, draw 19%, QPR 18%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 59%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (60%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ipswich 1–1 QPR. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ipswich63%fair 1.59 · @1.27

Draw19%fair 5.26 · @5.50

QPR18%fair 5.58 · @10.00

3.17Expected goals

1.97Ipswich xG

1.19QPR xG

59%Both score

61%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%

2–110%

1–08%

2–08%

3–16%

1–26%

From our goals model: Ipswich 2.0 – 1.2 QPR expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Ipswich to win ✓	63%	1.59	1.27
Double chance	Ipswich or draw ✓	82%	1.22	1.04
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	59%	1.69	1.95 ▲
Draw no bet	Ipswich (draw no bet) ✓	78%	1.28	–
Asian handicap	QPR +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗	67%	1.48	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	81%	1.23	1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	61%	1.64	1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	60%	1.65	1.57
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	78%	1.28	1.22
First team to score	Ipswich to score first ✓	60%	1.68	–
Half-time result	Ipswich ahead at half-time ✓	41%	2.41	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Ipswich / FT Ipswich ✓	35%	2.87	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	10%	10.21	–

Ipswich – last 6

DWDLWD

28 Apr	@ Southampton	2–2	D
22 Apr	@ Charlton	2–1	W
19 Apr	vs Middlesbrough	2–2	D
14 Apr	@ Portsmouth	0–2	L
6 Apr	vs Birmingham	2–1	W
10 Mar	@ Stoke City	3–3	D

1.8Scored / game

1.8Conceded / game

83%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

QPR – last 6

LDWLLL

21 Apr	vs Swansea	1–2	L
6 Apr	@ Preston	1–1	D
3 Apr	vs Watford	2–1	W
11 Mar	@ Birmingham	0–1	L
8 Mar	vs Middlesbrough	0–4	L
24 Feb	@ Southampton	0–5	L

0.7Scored / game

2.3Conceded / game

50%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Birmingham	15	8	5	2	+14	29
2	Middlesbrough	15	8	5	2	+11	29
3	Stoke City	15	9	2	4	+6	29
4	Wolves	15	8	4	3	+8	28
5	West Brom	15	8	4	3	+8	28
6	Swansea	15	8	2	5	+4	26
7	Southampton	15	8	4	3	+14	24
8	QPR	15	6	6	3	+6	24
9	West Ham	15	6	5	4	+14	23
10	Sheffield Utd	15	6	4	5	+2	22
11	Portsmouth	15	6	4	5	+2	22
12	Norwich	15	7	0	8	+8	21
13	Blackburn	15	6	3	6	-1	21
14	Cardiff	15	4	6	5	0	18
15	Wrexham	15	4	6	5	-2	18
16	Millwall	15	5	3	7	-4	18
17	Bristol City	15	5	3	7	-8	18
18	Bolton	15	5	2	8	-9	17
19	Charlton	15	4	5	6	-10	17
20	Watford	15	4	3	8	-10	15
21	Lincoln	15	4	3	8	-11	15
22	Burnley	15	1	7	7	-9	10
23	Derby	15	2	4	9	-16	10
24	Preston	15	2	2	11	-17	8

Team

Pts

+14

+11

+14

+14

-1

-2

-4

-8

-9

-10

-10

-11

-9

-16

-17

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ipswich vs QPR?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Ipswich vs QPR?

On our numbers Ipswich have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 19% and QPR 18%.

How many goals will there be in Ipswich vs QPR?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ipswich vs QPR?

Our predicted score is Ipswich 1–1 QPR, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Ipswich vs QPR?

Ipswich vs QPR (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 2 May 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Portman Road.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Ipswich v QPR: numbers & prediction

Ipswich

QPR

Under 3.5 goals