Hull City v Norwich Prediction & Expected Goals (2 May) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultHull City to win ✓51% · @1.90

Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.20

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.53

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.18

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 10.72

Hull City vs Norwich: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Norwich travel to face Hull City on Saturday 2 May in the Championship, with MKM Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 12:30 WAT.

Current form

Hull City, last 5: DDDWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Leicester, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Norwich, last 5: WWDLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Derby, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Norwich, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Hull City.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Hull City 1.6 xG, Norwich 1.2 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 56%, GG 63%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Hull City 51%, draw 23%, Norwich 26%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.53.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (66%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hull City 1–1 Norwich. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Hull City51%fair 1.98 · @1.90

Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.85

Norwich26%fair 3.79 · @3.55

2.75Expected goals

1.58Hull City xG

1.17Norwich xG

63%Both score

56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%

1–010%

2–19%

2–08%

0–17%

1–27%

From our goals model: Hull City 1.6 – 1.2 Norwich expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Hull City to win ✓	51%	1.98	1.90
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	77%	1.30	1.20
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	63%	1.59	1.53
Draw no bet	Hull City (draw no bet) ✓	66%	1.52	–
Asian handicap	Norwich +1 (Asian handicap)	69%	1.45	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	78%	1.28	1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	56%	1.79	1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	66%	1.52	1.53
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	82%	1.22	1.20
First team to score	Hull City to score first	54%	1.86	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	41%	2.41	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Hull City / FT Hull City ✗	28%	3.57	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✓	9%	10.72	–

Hull City – last 6

DDDWLL

21 Apr	@ Leicester	2–2	D
6 Apr	vs Coventry	0–0	D
3 Apr	@ Oxford United	1–1	D
10 Mar	@ Wrexham	2–1	W
7 Mar	vs Millwall	1–3	L
3 Mar	@ Ipswich	0–1	L

1.0Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

67%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Norwich – last 6

WWDLWL

21 Apr	vs Derby	2–1	W
6 Apr	@ Millwall	2–1	W
3 Apr	vs Portsmouth	1–1	D
18 Mar	@ Southampton	0–1	L
11 Mar	vs Sheffield Utd	2–1	W
8 Mar	@ Leeds	0–3	L

1.2Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

67%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Birmingham	15	8	5	2	+14	29
2	Middlesbrough	15	8	5	2	+11	29
3	Stoke City	15	9	2	4	+6	29
4	Wolves	15	8	4	3	+8	28
5	West Brom	15	8	4	3	+8	28
6	Swansea	15	8	2	5	+4	26
7	Southampton	15	8	4	3	+14	24
8	QPR	15	6	6	3	+6	24
9	West Ham	15	6	5	4	+14	23
10	Sheffield Utd	15	6	4	5	+2	22
11	Portsmouth	15	6	4	5	+2	22
12	Norwich	15	7	0	8	+8	21
13	Blackburn	15	6	3	6	-1	21
14	Cardiff	15	4	6	5	0	18
15	Wrexham	15	4	6	5	-2	18
16	Millwall	15	5	3	7	-4	18
17	Bristol City	15	5	3	7	-8	18
18	Bolton	15	5	2	8	-9	17
19	Charlton	15	4	5	6	-10	17
20	Watford	15	4	3	8	-10	15
21	Lincoln	15	4	3	8	-11	15
22	Burnley	15	1	7	7	-9	10
23	Derby	15	2	4	9	-16	10
24	Preston	15	2	2	11	-17	8

Team

Pts

+14

+11

+14

+14

-1

-2

-4

-8

-9

-10

-10

-11

-9

-16

-17

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Hull City vs Norwich?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.

Who will win Hull City vs Norwich?

On our numbers Hull City have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Norwich 26%.

How many goals will there be in Hull City vs Norwich?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Hull City vs Norwich?

Our predicted score is Hull City 1–1 Norwich, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Hull City vs Norwich?

Hull City vs Norwich (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 2 May 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at MKM Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Hull City v Norwich: numbers & prediction

Hull City