Wednesday 11 November 2026 14 live now 66% correct · last 30 days JackpotsNewsTelegram18+
BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Millwall v Oxford United: numbers & prediction

Championship · England · The Den

Millwall

WDLWW
2–0
FT

Oxford United

LDDWW
Millwall 52%Draw 24%Oxford United 24% Expected goals 1.36 – 1.24
75%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultMillwall to win ✓52% · @1.37
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.75

Millwall vs Oxford United: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 2 May the Championship brings Millwall against Oxford United at The Den. Kick-off: 12:30 WAT.

Current form

Millwall, last 5: WDLWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Stoke City, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Oxford United, last 5: LDDWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Wrexham, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Millwall, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for Oxford United.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Millwall 1.4 xG, Oxford United 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Millwall 52%, draw 24%, Oxford United 24%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Millwall 1–1 Oxford United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Millwall52%fair 1.92 · @1.37
Draw24%fair 4.23 · @4.55
Oxford United24%fair 4.10 · @8.20
2.59Expected goals
1.36Millwall xG
1.24Oxford United xG
54%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%

From our goals model: Millwall 1.4 – 1.2 Oxford United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMillwall to win ✓52%1.921.37
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.311.14
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗54%1.861.85
Draw no betMillwall (draw no bet) ✓68%1.47–
Asian handicapOxford United +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.331.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗53%1.901.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓69%1.451.48
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.191.18
First team to scoreMillwall to score first ✓48%2.07–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.31–
Half-time / full-timeHT Millwall / FT Millwall ✓23%4.35–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.75–

Recent results

Millwall – last 6

WDLWWW
21 Apr@ Stoke City3–1W
10 Apr@ West Brom0–0D
6 Aprvs Norwich1–2L
3 Apr@ Middlesbrough2–1W
10 Marvs Derby1–0W
7 Mar@ Hull City3–1W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Oxford United – last 6

LDDWWL
21 Aprvs Wrexham0–1L
6 Apr@ Portsmouth2–2D
3 Aprvs Hull City1–1D
11 Marvs Blackburn1–0W
6 Mar@ Preston3–1W
25 Feb@ Stoke City1–2L
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Millwall and Oxford United.

Millwall vs Oxford United head-to-head page →

Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Birmingham15852+1429
2Middlesbrough15852+1129
3Stoke City15924+629
4Wolves15843+828
5West Brom15843+828
6Swansea15825+426
7Southampton15843+1424
8QPR15663+624
9West Ham15654+1423
10Sheffield Utd15645+222
11Portsmouth15645+222
12Norwich15708+821
13Blackburn15636-121
14Cardiff15465018
15Wrexham15465-218
16Millwall15537-418
17Bristol City15537-818
18Bolton15528-917
19Charlton15456-1017
20Watford15438-1015
21Lincoln15438-1115
22Burnley15177-910
23Derby15249-1610
24Preston152211-178

More Championship predictions

League hub
FT Blackburn0 Leicester1 141%2.18X24%3.55235%3.05 1.4–1.4xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.25 ✗
FT Watford0 Coventry4 126%3.30X23%3.90252%1.96 1.2–1.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 63%@1.57 ✗
FT Hull City2 Norwich1 151%1.90X23%3.85226%3.55 1.6–1.2xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 66%@1.53 ✓
FT Derby1 Sheffield Utd2 143%1.83X25%3.75231%3.85 1.4–1.4xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 78%@1.20 ✓
FT Ipswich3 QPR0 163%1.27X19%5.50218%10.00 2.0–1.2xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 60%@1.57 ✓
FT Sheffield Wednesday2 West Brom1 120%5.75X24%4.40256%1.50 1.0–1.6xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.20 ✓
FT Wrexham2 Middlesbrough2 135%2.58X25%3.65241%2.44 1.3–1.5xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.20 ✓
FT Bristol City2 Stoke City0 142%1.96X25%3.70233%3.45 1.3–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.20 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Millwall vs Oxford United?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Millwall vs Oxford United?

On our numbers Millwall have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Oxford United 24%.

How many goals will there be in Millwall vs Oxford United?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Millwall vs Oxford United?

Our predicted score is Millwall 1–1 Oxford United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Millwall vs Oxford United?

Millwall vs Oxford United (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 2 May 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at The Den.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.