Preston v Southampton Prediction & Expected Goals (2 May) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultSouthampton to win ✓55% · @1.97

Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.20

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.53

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.05

Preston vs Southampton: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Southampton travel to face Preston on Saturday 2 May in the Championship, with Deepdale the venue – the ball rolls at 12:30 WAT. In the table, Preston are 24th, in the drop zone, on 8 points after 15 matches; Southampton are 7th (upper half) with 24. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Preston, last 5: LDDWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Birmingham, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Southampton, last 5: DDWWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Ipswich, at home. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.

Momentum favours Southampton, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.8 for Preston.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Preston 1.0 xG, Southampton 1.9 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Preston 24%, draw 21%, Southampton 55%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.53.
Price worth noting: Southampton to win @1.97 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 55%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (64%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Preston 1–1 Southampton. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Preston24%fair 4.16 · @3.30

Draw21%fair 4.70 · @3.85

Southampton55%fair 1.83 · @1.97

2.97Expected goals

1.02Preston xG

1.95Southampton xG

62%Both score

58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%

0–110%

1–210%

0–210%

1–36%

0–36%

From our goals model: Preston 1.0 – 1.9 Southampton expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Southampton to win ✓	55%	1.83	1.97 ▲
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	79%	1.27	1.20
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	62%	1.61	1.53
Draw no bet	Southampton (draw no bet) ✓	70%	1.44	–
Asian handicap	Preston +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗	65%	1.54	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	80%	1.25	1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	58%	1.71	1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	64%	1.57	1.53
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	80%	1.25	1.20
First team to score	Southampton to score first ✓	62%	1.61	–
Half-time result	Southampton ahead at half-time ✓	43%	2.32	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Southampton / FT Southampton ✓	37%	2.68	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	10%	10.05	–

Preston – last 6

LDDWLL

22 Apr	@ Birmingham	1–2	L
6 Apr	vs QPR	1–1	D
3 Apr	@ Leicester	2–2	D
20 Mar	vs Stoke City	3–1	W
11 Mar	@ Coventry	0–3	L
6 Mar	vs Oxford United	1–3	L

1.3Scored / game

2.0Conceded / game

83%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

Southampton – last 6

DDWWWD

28 Apr	vs Ipswich	2–2	D
21 Apr	vs Bristol City	2–2	D
14 Apr	vs Blackburn	3–0	W
7 Apr	@ Wrexham	5–1	W
18 Mar	vs Norwich	1–0	W
11 Mar	@ West Brom	1–1	D

2.3Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

67%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Birmingham	15	8	5	2	+14	29
2	Middlesbrough	15	8	5	2	+11	29
3	Stoke City	15	9	2	4	+6	29
4	Wolves	15	8	4	3	+8	28
5	West Brom	15	8	4	3	+8	28
6	Swansea	15	8	2	5	+4	26
7	Southampton	15	8	4	3	+14	24
8	QPR	15	6	6	3	+6	24
9	West Ham	15	6	5	4	+14	23
10	Sheffield Utd	15	6	4	5	+2	22
11	Portsmouth	15	6	4	5	+2	22
12	Norwich	15	7	0	8	+8	21
13	Blackburn	15	6	3	6	-1	21
14	Cardiff	15	4	6	5	0	18
15	Wrexham	15	4	6	5	-2	18
16	Millwall	15	5	3	7	-4	18
17	Bristol City	15	5	3	7	-8	18
18	Bolton	15	5	2	8	-9	17
19	Charlton	15	4	5	6	-10	17
20	Watford	15	4	3	8	-10	15
21	Lincoln	15	4	3	8	-11	15
22	Burnley	15	1	7	7	-9	10
23	Derby	15	2	4	9	-16	10
24	Preston	15	2	2	11	-17	8

Team

Pts

+14

+11

+14

+14

-1

-2

-4

-8

-9

-10

-10

-11

-9

-16

-17

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Preston vs Southampton?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.

Who will win Preston vs Southampton?

On our numbers Preston have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Southampton 55%.

How many goals will there be in Preston vs Southampton?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Preston vs Southampton?

Our predicted score is Preston 1–1 Southampton, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Preston vs Southampton?

Preston vs Southampton (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 2 May 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Deepdale.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Preston v Southampton: numbers & prediction