Auxerre travel to face Lille on Sunday 17 May in the Ligue 1, with Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre-Mauroy the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT. In the table, Lille are 2nd, among the top four, on 21 points after 10 matches; Auxerre are 14th (lower half) with 10.
Current form
Lille, last 5: DWLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Le Havre, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Auxerre, last 5: DDLDL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Monaco, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lille 2.0 xG, Auxerre 0.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lille 65%, draw 20%, Auxerre 15%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.95.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lille 2–0 Auxerre. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lille65%fair 1.53 · @1.36
Draw20%fair 5.02 · @4.65
Auxerre15%fair 6.77 · @8.40
2.85Expected goals
1.99Lille xG
0.86Auxerre xG
54%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Lille 2.0 – 0.9 Auxerre expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lille to win✗
65%
1.53
1.36
Double chance
Lille or draw✗
85%
1.17
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Lille (draw no bet)✗
82%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
Lille -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.17
First team to score
Lille to score first✗
66%
1.52
–
Half-time result
Lille ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lille / FT Lille✗
41%
2.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.15
–
Recent results
Lille – last 6
DWLWLD
3 May
vs Le Havre
1–1
D
22 Mar
@ Marseille
2–1
W
19 Mar
@ Aston Villa
0–2
L
15 Mar
@ Rennes
2–1
W
12 Mar
vs Aston Villa
0–1
L
8 Mar
vs Lorient
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Auxerre – last 6
DDLDLW
19 Apr
@ Monaco
2–2
D
5 Apr
@ Le Havre
1–1
D
13 Mar
@ Marseille
0–1
L
1 Mar
@ Lorient
2–2
D
22 Feb
vs Rennes
0–3
L
15 Feb
@ Metz
3–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lille and Auxerre.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Lille vs Auxerre?
On our numbers Lille have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Auxerre 15%.
How many goals will there be in Lille vs Auxerre?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lille vs Auxerre?
Our predicted score is Lille 2–0 Auxerre, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Lille vs Auxerre?
Lille vs Auxerre (Ligue 1) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre-Mauroy.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Nantes0
Metz0