Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultLyon to win ✗55% · @1.66
Double chanceLyon or draw ✗78% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.22
Lyon vs Lens: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:00 WAT, Sunday 17 May: Lyon v Lens in the Ligue 1, played at Groupama Stadium. In the table, Lyon are 5th, upper half, on 17 points after 10 matches; Lens are 11th (lower half) with 13.
Current form
Lyon, last 5: DLLDD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Angers, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Lens, last 5: LWDWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Paris Saint Germain, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.7 a game lately.
Momentum favours Lens, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.5 for Lyon.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lyon 1.9 xG, Lens 1.2 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 60% and GG at 64%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lyon 55%, draw 23%, Lens 22%.
Lower-risk option: Lyon or draw (78%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Lyon or draw (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lyon 1–1 Lens. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lyon55%fair 1.81 · @1.66
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @4.10
Lens22%fair 4.61 · @4.45
3.07Expected goals
1.89Lyon xG
1.18Lens xG
64%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–110%
1–09%
2–08%
3–16%
1–26%
From our goals model: Lyon 1.9 – 1.2 Lens expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lyon to win✗
55%
1.81
1.66
Double chance
Lyon or draw✗
78%
1.28
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
64%
1.57
1.57
Draw no bet
Lyon (draw no bet)✗
72%
1.39
–
Asian handicap
Lens +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.68
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
1.55
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.22
First team to score
Lyon to score first✗
59%
1.71
–
Half-time result
Lyon ahead at half-time✗
40%
2.49
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lyon / FT Lyon✗
34%
2.98
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.22
–
Recent results
Lyon – last 6
DLLDDL
5 Apr
@ Angers
0–0
D
22 Mar
vs Monaco
1–2
L
19 Mar
vs Celta Vigo
0–2
L
15 Mar
@ Le Havre
0–0
D
12 Mar
@ Celta Vigo
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ Strasbourg
1–3
L
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Lens – last 6
LWDWWW
13 May
vs Paris Saint Germain
0–2
L
8 May
vs Nantes
1–0
W
24 Apr
@ Stade Brestois 29
3–3
D
21 Apr
vs Toulouse
4–1
W
17 Apr
vs Toulouse
3–2
W
20 Mar
vs Angers
5–1
W
2.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lyon and Lens.
Our pick is Lyon or draw with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Lyon vs Lens?
On our numbers Lyon have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Lens 22%.
How many goals will there be in Lyon vs Lens?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lyon vs Lens?
Our predicted score is Lyon 1–1 Lens, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Lyon vs Lens?
Lyon vs Lens (Ligue 1) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Groupama Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Nantes0
Metz0