Paris FC 20%Draw 20%Paris Saint Germain 60%Expected goals 1.13 – 2.03
64%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
Picks by market
ResultParis Saint Germain to win ✗60% · @1.57
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.12
Paris FC vs Paris Saint Germain: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 17 May the Ligue 1 brings Paris FC against Paris Saint Germain at Stade Jean Bouin. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT. In the table, Paris FC are 3rd, among the top four, on 20 points after 10 matches; Paris Saint Germain are 1st (leading the league) with 23. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Paris FC, last 5: WDWDW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Monaco, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Paris Saint Germain, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Lens, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Paris FC 1.1 xG, Paris Saint Germain 2.0 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 64% and GG at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Paris FC 20%, draw 20%, Paris Saint Germain 60%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.45.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (64%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Paris FC 1–2 Paris Saint Germain. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Paris FC20%fair 5.02 · @4.60
Draw20%fair 5.07 · @4.60
Paris Saint Germain60%fair 1.66 · @1.57
3.16Expected goals
1.13Paris FC xG
2.03Paris Saint Germain xG
63%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–210%
1–110%
0–29%
0–19%
1–37%
0–36%
From our goals model: Paris FC 1.1 – 2.0 Paris Saint Germain expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Paris Saint Germain to win✗
60%
1.66
1.57
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.58
1.45
Draw no bet
Paris Saint Germain (draw no bet)✗
75%
1.33
–
Asian handicap
Paris FC +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.12
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.80
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.33
First team to score
Paris Saint Germain to score first
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
Paris Saint Germain ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Paris Saint Germain / FT Paris Saint Germain✗
37%
2.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.12
–
Recent results
Paris FC – last 5
WDWDW
10 Apr
vs Monaco
4–1
W
5 Apr
@ Lorient
1–1
D
22 Mar
vs Le Havre
3–2
W
15 Mar
@ Strasbourg
0–0
D
1 Mar
vs Nice
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Paris Saint Germain – last 6
WDWWWW
13 May
@ Lens
2–0
W
6 May
@ Bayern München
1–1
D
28 Apr
vs Bayern München
5–4
W
22 Apr
vs Nantes
3–0
W
14 Apr
@ Liverpool
2–0
W
8 Apr
vs Liverpool
2–0
W
2.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Paris FC and Paris Saint Germain.
What is the prediction for Paris FC vs Paris Saint Germain?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Paris FC vs Paris Saint Germain?
On our numbers Paris FC have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Paris Saint Germain 60%.
How many goals will there be in Paris FC vs Paris Saint Germain?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Paris FC vs Paris Saint Germain?
Our predicted score is Paris FC 1–2 Paris Saint Germain, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Paris FC vs Paris Saint Germain?
Paris FC vs Paris Saint Germain (Ligue 1) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Jean Bouin.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Nantes0
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