Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.55Odds
Picks by market
ResultNice to win ✗60% · @1.33
Double chanceNice or draw ✓82% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.14
Nice vs Metz: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:00 WAT, Sunday 17 May: Nice v Metz in the Ligue 1, played at Allianz Riviera.
Current form
Nice, last 5: WLLDL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Strasbourg, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Metz, last 5: LDDLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Marseille, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nice 1.9 xG, Metz 1.1 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 60% for three or more goals, 55% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nice 60%, draw 22%, Metz 18%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (62%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nice 1–1 Metz. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nice60%fair 1.66 · @1.33
Draw22%fair 4.65 · @5.25
Metz18%fair 5.51 · @7.90
3.06Expected goals
1.93Nice xG
1.14Metz xG
55%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–110%
1–09%
2–09%
3–16%
1–26%
From our goals model: Nice 1.9 – 1.1 Metz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nice to win✗
60%
1.66
1.33
Double chance
Nice or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
1.85
Draw no bet
Nice (draw no bet)
77%
1.30
–
Asian handicap
Metz +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
81%
1.24
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.68
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.55
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.22
First team to score
Nice to score first✗
60%
1.67
–
Half-time result
Nice ahead at half-time✗
41%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nice / FT Nice✗
35%
2.86
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.14
–
Recent results
Nice – last 5
WLLDL
22 Apr
@ Strasbourg
2–0
W
8 Mar
vs Rennes
0–4
L
1 Mar
@ Paris FC
0–1
L
22 Feb
vs Lorient
3–3
D
15 Feb
@ Lyon
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
20%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Metz – last 6
LDDLLL
10 Apr
@ Marseille
1–3
L
5 Apr
vs Nantes
0–0
D
22 Mar
@ Rennes
0–0
D
15 Mar
vs Toulouse
3–4
L
8 Mar
@ Lens
0–3
L
1 Mar
vs Stade Brestois 29
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nice and Metz.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Nice vs Metz?
On our numbers Nice have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Metz 18%.
How many goals will there be in Nice vs Metz?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nice vs Metz?
Our predicted score is Nice 1–1 Metz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Nice vs Metz?
Nice vs Metz (Ligue 1) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Allianz Riviera.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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