Nantes vs Toulouse: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 17 May the Ligue 1 brings Nantes against Toulouse at Stade de la Beaujoire. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT.
Current form
Nantes, last 5: LLDLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Lens, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Toulouse, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Lens, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 4 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 3.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nantes 1.4 xG, Toulouse 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nantes 39%, draw 25%, Toulouse 36%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nantes 1–1 Toulouse. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nantes39%fair 2.60 · @2.56
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @3.45
Toulouse36%fair 2.75 · @2.56
2.73Expected goals
1.42Nantes xG
1.31Toulouse xG
63%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–19%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Nantes 1.4 – 1.3 Toulouse expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nantes to win
39%
2.60
2.56
Double chance
Either team to win
75%
1.34
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
63%
1.58
1.57
Draw no bet
Nantes (draw no bet)
51%
1.94
–
Asian handicap
Toulouse +0.5 (Asian handicap)
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
53%
1.88
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
69%
1.46
1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
84%
1.19
1.15
First team to score
Nantes to score first
49%
2.06
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nantes / FT Nantes
23%
4.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
11.62
–
Recent results
Nantes – last 6
LLDLWL
8 May
@ Lens
0–1
L
22 Apr
@ Paris Saint Germain
0–3
L
5 Apr
@ Metz
0–0
D
1 Mar
@ Lille
0–1
L
22 Feb
vs Le Havre
2–0
W
13 Feb
@ Monaco
1–3
L
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Toulouse – last 5
LLLWL
21 Apr
@ Lens
1–4
L
17 Apr
@ Lens
2–3
L
3 Apr
@ Paris Saint Germain
1–3
L
15 Mar
@ Metz
4–3
W
15 Feb
@ Le Havre
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nantes and Toulouse.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Nantes vs Toulouse?
On our numbers Nantes have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Toulouse 36%.
How many goals will there be in Nantes vs Toulouse?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nantes vs Toulouse?
Our predicted score is Nantes 1–1 Toulouse, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Nantes vs Toulouse?
Nantes vs Toulouse (Ligue 1) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade de la Beaujoire.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Metz0