Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultBenfica to win ✗67% · @1.42
Double chanceBenfica or draw ✓87% · @1.09
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.24
Benfica vs SC Braga: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
SC Braga travel to face Benfica on Monday 11 May in the Primeira Liga, with Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica the venue – the ball rolls at 20:15 WAT. In the table, Benfica are 2nd, among the top four, on 28 points after 11 matches; SC Braga are 8th (upper half) with 17.
Current form
Benfica, last 5: DDWLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Casa Pia, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
SC Braga, last 5: LWWWD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to SC Freiburg, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours SC Braga, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for Benfica.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Benfica 2.1 xG, SC Braga 0.8 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 53% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Benfica 67%, draw 20%, SC Braga 13%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Benfica 2–0 SC Braga. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Benfica67%fair 1.48 · @1.42
Draw20%fair 5.05 · @4.45
SC Braga13%fair 7.79 · @7.20
2.93Expected goals
2.10Benfica xG
0.83SC Braga xG
53%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Benfica 2.1 – 0.8 SC Braga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Benfica to win✗
67%
1.48
1.42
Double chance
Benfica or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.09
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
1.83
Draw no bet
Benfica (draw no bet)
84%
1.19
–
Asian handicap
Benfica -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
1.45
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.18
First team to score
Benfica to score first
68%
1.47
–
Half-time result
Benfica ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Benfica / FT Benfica✗
43%
2.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.24
–
Recent results
Benfica – last 6
DDWLLW
6 Apr
@ Casa Pia
1–1
D
8 Mar
vs FC Porto
2–2
D
2 Mar
@ GIL Vicente
2–1
W
25 Feb
@ Real Madrid
1–2
L
17 Feb
vs Real Madrid
0–1
L
13 Feb
@ Santa Clara
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
SC Braga – last 6
LWWWDW
7 May
@ SC Freiburg
1–3
L
30 Apr
vs SC Freiburg
2–1
W
23 Apr
@ Casa Pia
1–0
W
16 Apr
@ Real Betis
4–2
W
8 Apr
vs Real Betis
1–1
D
18 Mar
vs Ferencvarosi TC
4–0
W
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Benfica and SC Braga.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Benfica vs SC Braga?
On our numbers Benfica have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 20% and SC Braga 13%.
How many goals will there be in Benfica vs SC Braga?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Benfica vs SC Braga?
Our predicted score is Benfica 2–0 SC Braga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Benfica vs SC Braga?
Benfica vs SC Braga (Primeira Liga) kicks off on Monday 11 May 2026 at 20:15 (West Africa Time) at Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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