Rio Ave vs Sporting CP: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Rio Ave welcome Sporting CP to Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube for a Primeira Liga fixture on Monday 11 May (20:15 WAT). In the table, Rio Ave are 17th, in the drop zone, on 7 points after 11 matches; Sporting CP are 3rd (among the top four) with 24. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Rio Ave, last 5: DWWWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with AVS, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Sporting CP, last 5: WDDDL Their latest outing: 5–1 win over Guimaraes, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Rio Ave 0.8 xG, Sporting CP 2.4 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 66% for three or more goals, 55% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Rio Ave 9%, draw 18%, Sporting CP 73%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Sporting CP to win (73%, odds 1.24). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rio Ave 0–2 Sporting CP. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Rio Ave9%fair 11.04 · @11.50
Draw18%fair 5.68 · @5.70
Sporting CP73%fair 1.36 · @1.24
3.29Expected goals
0.85Rio Ave xG
2.44Sporting CP xG
55%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–211%
1–29%
0–19%
0–39%
1–18%
1–38%
From our goals model: Rio Ave 0.8 – 2.4 Sporting CP expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sporting CP to win✓
73%
1.36
1.24
Double chance
Sporting CP or draw✓
91%
1.10
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
1.75
Draw no bet
Sporting CP (draw no bet)✓
89%
1.12
–
Asian handicap
Sporting CP -1 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.12
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
55%
1.80
1.80
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
74%
1.36
1.33
First team to score
Sporting CP to score first
72%
1.40
–
Half-time result
Sporting CP ahead at half-time✓
53%
1.88
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sporting CP / FT Sporting CP✓
49%
2.04
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.63
–
Recent results
Rio Ave – last 6
DWWWLL
17 Apr
vs AVS
2–2
D
22 Mar
@ Estoril
2–1
W
15 Mar
vs Estrela
2–1
W
9 Mar
@ Tondela
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ FC Porto
0–1
L
16 Feb
vs Moreirense
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Sporting CP – last 6
WDDDLW
4 May
vs Guimaraes
5–1
W
29 Apr
vs Tondela
2–2
D
22 Apr
@ FC Porto
0–0
D
15 Apr
@ Arsenal
0–0
D
7 Apr
vs Arsenal
0–1
L
17 Mar
vs BodoGlimt
3–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rio Ave and Sporting CP.
What is the prediction for Rio Ave vs Sporting CP?
Our pick is Sporting CP to win with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.
Who will win Rio Ave vs Sporting CP?
On our numbers Rio Ave have a 9% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Sporting CP 73%.
How many goals will there be in Rio Ave vs Sporting CP?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rio Ave vs Sporting CP?
Our predicted score is Rio Ave 0–2 Sporting CP, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Rio Ave vs Sporting CP?
Rio Ave vs Sporting CP (Primeira Liga) kicks off on Monday 11 May 2026 at 20:15 (West Africa Time) at Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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