Philadelphia Union v Columbus Crew Prediction & Expected Goals (17 May) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultPhiladelphia Union to win ✗42% · @2.28

Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.22

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.57

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.96

Philadelphia Union vs Columbus Crew: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Philadelphia Union welcome Columbus Crew to Subaru Park for a Major League Soccer fixture on Sunday 17 May (00:30 WAT). In the table, Philadelphia Union are 6th, upper half, on 50 points after 34 matches; Columbus Crew are 7th (upper half) with 47. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Philadelphia Union, last 5: LLDLD Their latest outing: 3–4 defeat to Orlando City SC, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Columbus Crew, last 5: LLWWW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to New York Red Bulls, away. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Momentum favours Columbus Crew, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.5 for Philadelphia Union.

Head to head

When they last met (26 Apr 2026) it ended Columbus Crew 2–0 Philadelphia Union.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Philadelphia Union 1.6 xG, Columbus Crew 1.4 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 60% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Philadelphia Union 42%, draw 24%, Columbus Crew 34%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.57.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Philadelphia Union 1–1 Columbus Crew. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Philadelphia Union42%fair 2.38 · @2.28

Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.55

Columbus Crew34%fair 2.91 · @2.85

2.99Expected goals

1.64Philadelphia Union xG

1.35Columbus Crew xG

60%Both score

56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%

2–19%

1–08%

1–28%

0–17%

2–07%

From our goals model: Philadelphia Union 1.6 – 1.4 Columbus Crew expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Philadelphia Union to win ✗	42%	2.38	2.28
Double chance	Either team to win ✗	76%	1.31	1.22
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	60%	1.66	1.57
Draw no bet	Philadelphia Union (draw no bet)	55%	1.82	–
Asian handicap	Columbus Crew +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	71%	1.41	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	79%	1.27	1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	56%	1.77	1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	66%	1.52	1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	82%	1.22	1.15
First team to score	Philadelphia Union to score first ✗	52%	1.92	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	40%	2.52	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Philadelphia Union / FT Philadelphia Union ✗	27%	3.76	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	9%	10.96	–

Philadelphia Union – last 6

LLDLDD

14 May	@ Orlando City SC	3–4	L
10 May	@ New England Revolution	1–2	L
3 May	vs Nashville SC	0–0	D
26 Apr	@ Columbus Crew	0–2	L
23 Apr	@ Toronto FC	3–3	D
19 Apr	vs DC United	0–0	D

1.2Scored / game

1.8Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Columbus Crew – last 6

LLWWWL

14 May	@ New York Red Bulls	2–3	L
3 May	vs Minnesota United FC	2–3	L
30 Apr	vs One Knoxville	4–1	W
26 Apr	vs Philadelphia Union	2–0	W
23 Apr	vs Los Angeles Galaxy	2–1	W
19 Apr	@ New England Revolution	1–2	L

2.2Scored / game

1.7Conceded / game

83%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Nashville SC	34	23	8	3	+46	77
2	Inter Miami	34	16	12	6	+21	60
3	New England Revolution	34	18	4	12	+8	58
4	Chicago Fire	34	16	7	11	+10	55
5	Charlotte	34	15	9	10	+15	54
6	Philadelphia Union	34	14	8	12	+14	50
7	Columbus Crew	34	14	5	15	+7	47
8	Orlando City SC	34	13	7	14	-15	46
9	FC Cincinnati	34	12	10	12	-8	46
10	New York Red Bulls	34	12	6	16	-14	42
11	New York City FC	34	10	12	12	+4	42
12	Toronto FC	34	9	12	13	-15	39
13	Atlanta United FC	34	9	6	19	-17	33
14	DC United	34	7	12	15	-22	33
15	CF Montreal	34	6	8	20	-32	26

Team

Pts

Nashville SC

+46

Inter Miami

+21

New England Revolution

+10

+15

+14

-15

-8

-14

-15

-17

-22

-32

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Philadelphia Union vs Columbus Crew?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Philadelphia Union vs Columbus Crew?

On our numbers Philadelphia Union have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Columbus Crew 34%.

How many goals will there be in Philadelphia Union vs Columbus Crew?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Philadelphia Union vs Columbus Crew?

Our predicted score is Philadelphia Union 1–1 Columbus Crew, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Philadelphia Union vs Columbus Crew?

Philadelphia Union vs Columbus Crew (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Subaru Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Philadelphia Union v Columbus Crew: numbers & prediction