Charlotte 60%Draw 19%Toronto FC 21%Expected goals 2.27 – 1.21
83%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Charlotte to win @ 1.84 – our chance 60% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultCharlotte to win ✓60% · @1.84
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.41
Charlotte vs Toronto FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
00:30 WAT, Sunday 17 May: Charlotte v Toronto FC in the Major League Soccer, played at Bank of America Stadium. In the table, Charlotte are 5th, upper half, on 54 points after 34 matches; Toronto FC are 12th (lower half) with 39. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Charlotte, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to New York City FC, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Toronto FC, last 5: LDWLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Atlético Ottawa, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Toronto FC, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.2 for Charlotte.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Charlotte 2.3 xG, Toronto FC 1.2 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 63% and GG at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Charlotte 60%, draw 19%, Toronto FC 21%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: Charlotte to win @1.84 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (83%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Charlotte 2–1 Toronto FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Charlotte60%fair 1.66 · @1.84
Draw19%fair 5.22 · @3.85
Toronto FC21%fair 4.86 · @3.75
3.48Expected goals
2.27Charlotte xG
1.21Toronto FC xG
63%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–18%
2–08%
3–17%
1–07%
3–06%
From our goals model: Charlotte 2.3 – 1.2 Toronto FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Charlotte to win✓
60%
1.66
1.84 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.24
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.59
1.57
Draw no bet
Charlotte (draw no bet)✓
75%
1.34
–
Asian handicap
Charlotte -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
59%
1.71
1.50
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.20
First team to score
Charlotte to score first
63%
1.58
–
Half-time result
Charlotte ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Charlotte / FT Charlotte✓
40%
2.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.41
–
Recent results
Charlotte – last 6
LDLLLL
14 May
vs New York City FC
0–1
L
10 May
vs FC Cincinnati
2–2
D
3 May
@ New England Revolution
0–1
L
29 Apr
vs Atlanta United FC
0–2
L
26 Apr
@ Nashville SC
2–4
L
23 Apr
@ Orlando City SC
1–4
L
0.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Toronto FC – last 6
LDWLLW
6 May
vs Atlético Ottawa
1–3
L
23 Apr
vs Philadelphia Union
3–3
D
9 Mar
@ FC Cincinnati
1–0
W
1 Mar
@ Vancouver Whitecaps
0–3
L
22 Feb
@ FC Dallas
2–3
L
14 Feb
vs Polessya
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Charlotte and Toronto FC.
What is the prediction for Charlotte vs Toronto FC?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Charlotte vs Toronto FC?
On our numbers Charlotte have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Toronto FC 21%.
How many goals will there be in Charlotte vs Toronto FC?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Charlotte vs Toronto FC?
Our predicted score is Charlotte 2–1 Toronto FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Charlotte vs Toronto FC?
Charlotte vs Toronto FC (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Bank of America Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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