New York Red Bulls 40%Draw 25%New York City FC 36%Expected goals 1.56 – 1.47
62%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.55Odds
Picks by market
ResultNew York Red Bulls to win ✗40% · @2.22
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.59
New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
New York Red Bulls welcome New York City FC to Sports Illustrated Stadium for a Major League Soccer fixture on Sunday 17 May (00:30 WAT). In the table, New York Red Bulls are 10th, lower half, on 42 points after 34 matches; New York City FC are 11th (lower half) with 42. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
New York Red Bulls, last 5: WLLLD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Columbus Crew, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
New York City FC, last 5: WWDLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Charlotte, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.
Momentum favours New York City FC, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for New York Red Bulls.
Head to head
When they last met (30 Apr 2026) it ended New York Red Bulls 1–3 New York City FC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give New York Red Bulls 1.6 xG, New York City FC 1.5 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 61% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – New York Red Bulls 40%, draw 25%, New York City FC 36%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.48.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (62%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: New York Red Bulls 1–1 New York City FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
New York Red Bulls40%fair 2.52 · @2.22
Draw25%fair 4.05 · @3.70
New York City FC36%fair 2.80 · @2.86
3.03Expected goals
1.56New York Red Bulls xG
1.47New York City FC xG
61%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–08%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: New York Red Bulls 1.6 – 1.5 New York City FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC?
On our numbers New York Red Bulls have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 25% and New York City FC 36%.
How many goals will there be in New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC?
Our predicted score is New York Red Bulls 1–1 New York City FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC?
New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Sports Illustrated Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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