Value bet: St. Louis City to win @ 3.20 – our chance 40% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +29%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSt. Louis City to win ✗40% · @3.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.76
DC United vs St. Louis City: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 17 May the Major League Soccer brings DC United against St. Louis City at Audi Field. Kick-off: 00:30 WAT. In the table, DC United are 14th, in the drop zone, on 33 points after 34 matches; St. Louis City are 3rd (among the top four) with 54. There are 21 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
DC United, last 5: LDWDD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Chicago Fire, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
St. Louis City, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Los Angeles FC, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Momentum favours St. Louis City, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for DC United.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give DC United 1.2 xG, St. Louis City 1.6 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – DC United 36%, draw 24%, St. Louis City 40%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: St. Louis City to win @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: DC United 1–1 St. Louis City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
DC United36%fair 2.78 · @2.12
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.50
St. Louis City40%fair 2.49 · @3.20
2.77Expected goals
1.19DC United xG
1.58St. Louis City xG
61%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
0–28%
1–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: DC United 1.2 – 1.6 St. Louis City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
St. Louis City to win✗
40%
2.49
3.20 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.65
1.67
Draw no bet
St. Louis City (draw no bet)
53%
1.90
–
Asian handicap
DC United +1 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.35
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.18
1.12
First team to score
St. Louis City to score first
53%
1.87
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT St. Louis City / FT St. Louis City✗
28%
3.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.76
–
Recent results
DC United – last 6
LDWDDL
14 May
vs Chicago Fire
1–3
L
10 May
@ Nashville SC
2–2
D
26 Apr
vs Orlando City SC
3–2
W
23 Apr
@ New York Red Bulls
4–4
D
19 Apr
@ Philadelphia Union
0–0
D
12 Apr
@ New England Revolution
0–1
L
1.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
St. Louis City – last 6
WWWLLW
14 May
vs Los Angeles FC
2–1
W
10 May
@ Colorado Rapids
1–0
W
30 Apr
@ Chicago Fire
2–1
W
26 Apr
vs San Jose Earthquakes
2–3
L
19 Apr
@ Seattle Sounders
1–4
L
16 Apr
vs FC Tulsa
4–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between DC United and St. Louis City.
What is the prediction for DC United vs St. Louis City?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win DC United vs St. Louis City?
On our numbers DC United have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 24% and St. Louis City 40%.
How many goals will there be in DC United vs St. Louis City?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for DC United vs St. Louis City?
Our predicted score is DC United 1–1 St. Louis City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is DC United vs St. Louis City?
DC United vs St. Louis City (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Audi Field.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Philadelphia Union1
Columbus Crew1
Orlando City SC1
Atlanta United FC1
New York Red Bulls1
New York City FC1
Charlotte3
Toronto FC1
New England Revolution2